TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf83e…4663

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
884
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Commodities, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 62 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT28163.7%179 W · 102 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 281 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.62
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.12
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.66
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.51
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+140.1%+$16.59
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$5.21
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30.78
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38%+$11.16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$25.15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$3.11
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.56
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 32 be less than 0.1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.12
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$6.91
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$15.98
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$13.34
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$10.76
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.93
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$4.56
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.86
Showing 25 of 281 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT22051.8%114 W · 106 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 220 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$362.85
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$94.73
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$17.4
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.15
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$82.62
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,017.39
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+270.4%+$72.27
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$140.7
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$128.14
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+150.8%+$1,091.24
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$54.56
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$296.12
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$26.91
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.7
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$103.39
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$53.04
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+56%+$381.68
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$118.4
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+170.3%+$1,508.22
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+104.2%+$533.25
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.8
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+43.4%+$42.95
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100%+$50.5
Showing 25 of 220 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10041%41 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$104.37
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.89
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$29.58
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$113.07
Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$30.78
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.21
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.54
Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.26
Will Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$27.26
Will Australia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$140.94
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$73.52
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.51
Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.6
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.56
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.01
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.43
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$3.86
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.86
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$17.69
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.74
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$20.99
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58%+$24.96
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.77
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.75
Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.4
Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
Will Shevrin Jones be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$51.93
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66%+$49.85
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$66.27
Will David Burck be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$27.57
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$27.25
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+31%+$16.26
Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$16.57
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.69
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$7.25
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,588Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$2,071.13
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,269.77
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$23.62
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$6.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$14.76
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.1
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.4
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+44%+$190.02
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$11
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$5.31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$177.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$15
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$19.3
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$28.64
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$34.47
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+167%+$17.06
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+46%+$28.96
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+53%+$6.17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+32%+$3.46
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$7.3
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$111.07
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.12
Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will EkkoTheNeeko Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will DN SOOPers Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.21
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$19.62
Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$18.1
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.54
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$360
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$600
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.08
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$930
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,254Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$3,346.37
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$38.78
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+48%+$397.49
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$74
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$46.84
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+46.1%+$83.92
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$9.98
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.3%+$143.6
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$67.69
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+60.4%+$146.89
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$93.6
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$58.76
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.97
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+135.5%+$129.46
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.73
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.43
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$177.01
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+159.3%+$84.1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.75
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$30.81
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$113.93
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$14.13
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.33
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$14.12
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$728.6
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.67
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$204.04
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,433.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ben Shelton Win ATP Montrealbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.81
Will Brandon Nakashima Win ATP Montrealbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$28.74
Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP Montrealbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$7.02
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.39
Busan: Yi Zhou vs Pavel Kotovbacked Yi Zhou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.41
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.61
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74.74
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Busan: Alexis Galarneau vs Kaichi Uchidabacked Kaichi Uchida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.26
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.26
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.12
Oeiras 3: Moez Echargui vs Chris Rodeschbacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$13.17
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.62
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Dayana Yastremska vs Ann Libacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$108.86
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.94
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Alexander Blockxbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.07
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.82
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Karen Khachanovbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$27.27
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$539.99
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,360
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.7
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,256Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$991.61
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$74.42
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.91
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.5%+$321.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$39.68
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.09
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+39.9%+$132.98
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+169.3%+$104.35
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,490.1
Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$400
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.01
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$85.99
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$463.31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.97
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+232.9%+$72.91
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.07
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.44
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.08
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+115.4%+$25.35
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$207.36
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+26%+$57.96
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Group B be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$5.2
Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+45%+$38.31
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$10.27
Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$23.96
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Abacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$92.39
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$4,841Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$4,841.06
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,659Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+142.7%+$3,794.6
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$964.79
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+74.4%+$484.29
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$691.38
Counter-Strike: NRG vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,349Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+64%+$1,503.43
Counter-Strike: NRG vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$196.23
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.41per pick48cpaid+103.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51%+$7.63
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.5
Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$15.15
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.11
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$64.8
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.65
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$478.54
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+126.9%+$149.87
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-57.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Musiclast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricketlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+169.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+78.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,710
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+133.6%+$88.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chesslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$345.41
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+170.3%+$182.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$650
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,301.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,469.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$46.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$829.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Holstein Kiel end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$122.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.