Venezuela · resolved market
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bb28ce9b8247f8a76d24c15a6d8198880e8aee27d07e5666b9498428ea93b16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,504,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,593,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,504,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 660 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x030e…5652backed Yes | 20c | 42,000$8,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,429.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 13c | 33,412$4,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,237.22 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…38acbacked Yes | 3c | 32,312$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 32c | 28,984$9,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,183.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…3061backed Yes | 8c | 27,770$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.74 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…4faabacked Yes | 11c | 22,951$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 2c | 22,287$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.15 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 10c | 20,679$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.39 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…e0fbbacked Yes | 13c | 18,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4589…12adbacked Yes | 13c | 18,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 16c | 16,763$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.24 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 13c | 16,744$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.53 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 33c | 16,192$5,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,416.91 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 20c | 15,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…1f18backed Yes | 40c | 14,866$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 41c | 12,706$5,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,178.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 64c | 10,349$6,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 79c | 10,182$8,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f1…11eebacked Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…d9a0backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 9,800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…7b5abacked No | 51c | 9,756$4,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,764.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 44c | 8,402$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451e…65a2backed Yes | 23c | 7,856$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…f75ebacked Yes | 19c | 7,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 6c | 7,494$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 43c | 7,132$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 34c | 7,048$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc077…f651backed Yes | 19c | 6,900$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 21c | 6,831$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.51 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…0e91backed Yes | 19c | 6,600$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…c41fbacked Yes | 3c | 6,516$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed Yes | 15c | 6,261$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…92eebacked No | 80c | 6,225$4,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…f4d2backed Yes | 19c | 6,200$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…dbcabacked No | 80c | 6,086$4,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd2…88b1backed Yes | 2c | 6,053$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed Yes | 11c | 6,000$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…e964backed Yes | 3c | 5,688$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…43a9backed No | 55c | 5,475$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9e…be96backed No | 68c | 5,439$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…1279backed Yes | 2c | 5,335$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 26c | 5,003$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 50cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes | 29c | 4,779$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…c403backed No | 71c | 4,651$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 78c | 4,469$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 69c | 4,458$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Yes | 2c | 4,300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 14c | 4,300$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa971…e347backed Yes | 45c | 4,000$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 77c | 3,965$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 13c | 3,965$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.34 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 31c | 3,933$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed Yes | 14c | 3,929$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc813…44dabacked Yes | 24c | 3,887$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a64…efd5backed Yes | 3c | 3,838$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…0d1bbacked Yes | 33c | 3,837$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Yes | 35c | 3,770$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 28c | 3,752$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.82 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…778dbacked No | 78c | 3,700$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…ccc3backed Yes | 4c | 3,642$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 33c | 3,547$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,239$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.61 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 3c | 3,189$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.29 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 10c | 3,172$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 12c | 3,083$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.97 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 12c | 2,911$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked No | 54c | 2,800$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 2c | 2,775$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 57c | 2,771$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed No | 62c | 2,747$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…6c01backed Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…55a9backed Yes | 1c | 2,695$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…2124backed Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…39f3backed Yes | 19c | 2,605$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 10c | 2,548$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.46 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…399bbacked Yes | 43c | 2,538$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 61c | 2,519$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 2,469$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Yes | 2c | 2,450$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 15c | 2,447$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.94 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f39…93d3backed Yes | 19c | 2,432$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…bc55backed No | 70c | 2,390$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…fecebacked Yes | 42c | 2,341$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 26c | 2,282$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64bc…a31ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,275$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…490fbacked No | 67c | 2,267$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 70c | 2,204$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 60c | 2,200$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecd…f575backed Yes | 36c | 2,200$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…7976backed Yes | 4c | 2,183$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Yes | 7c | 2,119$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.47 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 76c | 2,100$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 38c | 2,065$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…3a8fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,055$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8483…6d56backed Yes | 1c | 2,043$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?this page
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.