TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa365…ee73

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST2722.2%6 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scotland vs. Denmark end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$136.84
Will Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$149.99
Will Kosovo win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$570
Will Bulgaria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+455.6%+$1,493.88
Will Sweden vs. Slovenia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,189.98
Will Liechtenstein win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31.83
Will San Marino win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$37.63
Will Wales vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+38.9%+$307.01
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$3,660.26
Will Moldova win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$21.92
Will Albania win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$299.99
Will Latvia win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Will Azerbaijan vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$270
Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18.54
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+400%+$500.27
Will Portugal vs. Armenia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Will Armenia win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$132
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+163.2%+$1,860
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+988.6%+$264.83
Will Moldova win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Serbia win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$139.99
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Andorra win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$66.9
Will Armenia win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$579.99
Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$299.99
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST2240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$580
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+132.6%+$569.99
Rangers vs. Utahbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$459.92
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiensbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$449.99
Senators vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$214.6
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+127.3%+$560
Blues vs. Islandersbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+132.6%+$569.99
Utah vs. Maple Leafsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$840
Lightning vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$840
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$699.99
Utah vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$880
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$940
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,040
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,079.99
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$760
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
Red Wings vs. Ducksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$940
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$979.92
Blackhawks vs. Jetsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$680
Rangers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,080
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$1,300
All 22 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Unión win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$132.85
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,179.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$840
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.