Fifa International · resolved market
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x698987cabff1e821035a0dc6c22bafa958058ad8f9dc5b4576be1c3253b6cf15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 20,309$15,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,939.86 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…3bf5backed No | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 19,785$13,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,554.02 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 25c | 19,049$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,347.94 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 71c | 18,993$13,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,485.38 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 15,694$11,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,774.55 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 13c | 15,582$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,564.18 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 12,422$8,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,717.45 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…9cb5backed Yes | 30c | 11,369$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,954.82 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…3092backed Yes | 32c | 10,276$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,005.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 70c | 7,210$5,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,046.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 30c | 6,500$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,520 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 18c | 6,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.97 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 69c | 5,700$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.98 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed No | 71c | 5,143$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660.26 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.96 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed No | 2c | 4,519$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 4,433$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.01 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 30c | 4,274$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.57 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 31c | 4,001$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.42 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 3,683$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.36 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 26c | 3,674$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.89 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 31c | 3,500$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 3,387$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.27 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 72c | 3,355$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.48 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 48c | 3,200$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 28c | 3,100$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,941$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 2,872$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.49 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 2,633$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.33 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked No | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 69c | 2,367$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.9 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 61c | 2,122$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.09 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 69c | 1,908$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.29 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 72c | 1,668$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,665$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 31c | 1,639$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b2…b589backed Yes | 25c | 1,600$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 1,554$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.08 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…dfdabacked Yes | 29c | 1,538$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…257dbacked No | 71c | 1,474$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f56…9302backed Yes | 24c | 1,341$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…e630backed Yes | 25c | 1,308$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Yes | 33c | 1,260$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.1 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…dcb7backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 72c | 1,209$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.16 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,111$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…70b1backed Yes | 8c | 1,110$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 78c | 1,101$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.69 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…1c50backed Yes | 20c | 1,087$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.37 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes | 10c | 1,070$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,058$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.33 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed Yes | 18c | 1,043$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…9012backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 68c | 999.97$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.98 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed Yes | 32c | 999.62$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.74 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 72c | 967.79$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.81 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 20c | 950$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 29c | 940.55$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.79 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 31c | 936.09$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.8 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes | 77c | 933.8$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 15c | 860$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.84 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…69bebacked Yes | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8641…1d5bbacked Yes | 12c | 800.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…b7bfbacked Yes | 17c | 781.79$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.47 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 70c | 780.42$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Yes | 33c | 776.12$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…e9c7backed No | 69c | 743.71$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…25a8backed Yes | 7c | 738.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.5 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 77c | 717.73$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.06 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 699.96$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 13c | 699.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.97 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 71c | 697.07$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 30c | 673.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…0060backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 32c | 654.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.39 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4e…67e2backed Yes | 29c | 625.02$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 616$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.45 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 2c | 612$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…4d23backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 10c | 581.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.67 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 30c | 504.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.53 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 30c | 500.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…dfcdbacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 71c | 492$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.2 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4943…dd33backed Yes | 24c | 490$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 32c | 475.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 69c | 475$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.75 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yes | 31c | 453.26$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 439.97$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.08 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 56c | 430.77$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.11 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 31c | 429.36$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 10c | 422.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.45 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 31c | 419.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.35 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?this page
- Will Italy vs. Norway end in a draw?No won
- Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.