Fifa International · resolved market
Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74f32a06daf1c921cd83ae48e0897a629db7f7cabd36c9328b007586005a4a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed Yes | 39c | 30,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,799.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 36c | 11,361$4,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,294.96 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 56c | 10,783$6,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,744.72 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 56c | 8,876$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.18 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 7,147$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.11 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 50c | 6,760$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.3 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 56c | 4,400$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 55c | 3,600$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 44c | 3,177$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.86 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 2,811$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.92 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 57c | 2,805$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.15 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 55c | 2,740$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.03 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 37c | 2,284$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.53 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…b575backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 62c | 1,871$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.62 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,768$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.13 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed No | 57c | 1,692$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 1,646$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.07 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 75c | 1,565$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.53 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…fc19backed Yes | 46c | 1,550$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 56c | 1,371$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.57 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00e…e2d7backed Yes | 73c | 1,367$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 62c | 1,280$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.19 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Yes | 5c | 1,249$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 27c | 1,220$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 45c | 1,160$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…6396backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,107$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 45c | 1,102$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.75 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked Yes | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 44c | 1,093$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.4 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 1,085$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.49 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 1,030$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.43 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked No | 57c | 999.87$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd0…eb9dbacked No | 56c | 920.59$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 36c | 919.81$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.13 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9881…446fbacked Yes | 77c | 918.31$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 42c | 917.97$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.91 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 55c | 899.99$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 29c | 813.52$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.6 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…f2eabacked Yes | 42c | 799.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Yes | 75c | 744$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked No | 27c | 727.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…b13abacked Yes | 44c | 719.68$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked No | 44c | 685.06$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 44c | 659.04$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 76c | 657.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 616.46$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.41 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 10c | 575$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 47c | 551$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.93 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 54c | 534.62$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.93 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…81f9backed Yes | 45c | 523.8$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…7b1fbacked Yes | 76c | 513.68$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.8 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 47cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 65c | 458.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 45c | 426.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Yes | 74c | 424.05$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.79 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…6bedbacked Yes | 72c | 417.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 40c | 396.63$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…dbe8backed Yes | 43c | 395.19$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.93 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…7708backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…793fbacked Yes | 45c | 394.17$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 44c | 385.86$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.95 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 55c | 365.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 56c | 356$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b7…fcf0backed Yes | 77c | 331.17$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…8ac9backed Yes | 42c | 329.67$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 58c | 318.02$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes | 57c | 316.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked No | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b8…5401backed Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 61c | 293.97$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 44c | 274.95$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 44c | 266.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…2eafbacked Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…cb5ebacked Yes | 25c | 248$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 43c | 247.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 31c | 239.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 48c | 235$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?this page
- Will Italy vs. Norway end in a draw?No won
- Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.