TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0dd3…cb5e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.15
Panama vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.74
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.02
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+244.3%+$28.7
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.95
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.78
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Will Spain vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+38.9%+$17.89
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$106
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+112.8%+$76.68
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+403.5%+$242.08
Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+244.8%+$122.41
Will Israel win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$26.51
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.4%+$29.88
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$12.57
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$7.92
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$6.73
Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$7.86
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$46.12
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.15
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.11
Borussia Dortmund vs. 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.66
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+36.5%+$124.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+70.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$7.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.