TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$606,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$623,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $606,484 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 493 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Yes32c190,570$61,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,475.2320039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No67c82,531$54,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,565.4835758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c76,612$51,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,764.946,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No68c43,358$29,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,871.8130851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No66c36,426$24,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,384.865054%27 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes34c29,999$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.7431947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked No69c21,732$14,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,736.963060%18 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes31c20,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2001040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No70c18,366$12,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,447.1929253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No69c16,524$11,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,203.272839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes34c16,143$5,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,537.827235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No67c15,087$10,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,052.1479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94cc…5a2cbacked Yes34c14,250$4,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,844.141136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes37c14,151$5,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,209.365641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes29c12,515$3,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,613.4413834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No67c12,000$8,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,959.9515949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No65c11,787$7,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,121.431655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500e…5822backed Yes34c11,092$3,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,771.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes32c10,516$3,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,368.8311838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No66c10,510$6,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,573.3810849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No69c10,000$6,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1507256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8009646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed No67c9,700$6,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,155.0510737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Yes34c8,888$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,021.92812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No66c8,420$5,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.79263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No68c8,239$5,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.881,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976c…907cbacked Yes33c6,968$2,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes31c6,500$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0152524%6 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-44.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No64c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.9940046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No66c5,555$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.6816851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes26c5,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes32c4,938$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.864456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No70c4,750$3,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42510159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes33c4,545$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes31c4,400$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35417833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No67c4,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.9946651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9418123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes33c3,997$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3199636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes34c3,827$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.1268026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes37c3,732$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3815637.5%21 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No68c3,620$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.9324566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No69c3,600$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11637054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ef…5232backed Yes34c3,147$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8106833.8%23 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e97…f7f3backed Yes35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40fb…0abfbacked Yes34c2,956$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b03…9380backed Yes34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked No65c2,703$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.084161%25 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c2,551$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6022,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No73c2,544$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.681,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes10c2,525$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26227024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes34c2,450$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.1541437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes35c2,300$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.723330.3%10 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes21c2,270$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47732037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No66c2,269$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.533672.2%26 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1fad…b5b2backed Yes10c2,191$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-78.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No69c2,152$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.129849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No69c2,053$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.4324846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Yes35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6806150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee6…e72bbacked No66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.997636.8%28 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes34c2,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9921656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes25c1,989$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.353647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes33c1,893$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6315742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes34c1,859$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63218740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No73c1,617$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.5951542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Yes31c1,600$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4961735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes32c1,585$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb070…96f7backed No69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea2…a465backed Yes34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50060%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a9b…44ccbacked Yes34c1,469$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa359…e803backed Yes14c1,461$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.5230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes24c1,440$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes22c1,394$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No67c1,374$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7df…62efbacked Yes10c1,350$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No70c1,225$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.57542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfceb…37dabacked Yes33c1,200$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3961850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No65c1,195$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.4842048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked Yes37c1,173$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.113336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae2d…d74dbacked Yes37c1,119$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes26c1,117$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff9…bdc5backed Yes36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Yes9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+46.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes14c1,053$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.662218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No66c1,004$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.0449254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes21c1,000$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20732822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2c…94c5backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74b0…d410backed Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed No70c999.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4c8bbacked No66c999.98$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes35c999.75$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.912429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904c…1902backed No67c999.4$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes21c900$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18627752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Yes27c887.54$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.782236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.