TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC vs. Everton end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes47c12,501$5,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,590.4729253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500e…5822backed Yes32c11,311$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,710.74450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No68c5,707$3,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,880.735758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No53c5,308$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820.672,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe219…8cc8backed No72c5,250$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes30c4,754$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,327.838649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c4,585$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.794,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No69c4,410$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.1531655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes22c4,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed No70c3,988$2,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,791.64456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No26c2,432$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.291,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02067042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60de…1e1bbacked No70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes32c1,563$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.7222125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No15c1,496$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.391305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Yes49c1,365$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes39c1,333$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.5227235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f2…bb52backed Yes22c1,116$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+344.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes28c1,095$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.574847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes66c960.59$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.1841344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes21c800$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.0513834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No46c790.7$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.451542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No76c722.92$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.4256453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No69c692$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.481,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed No44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes24c636.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.3627024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes32c619.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.783647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked No44c490.91$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d9…0695backed No70c486.36$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.451163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes29c470.19$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.011936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes23c436.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.072626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0a9…1f13backed No70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-76.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes31c387.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.14247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d15…156abacked Yes70c337.24$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes32c312.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.7211052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.511855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21661441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7df…62efbacked Yes58c271.7$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.921136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Yes31c250$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.55848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b49…95e9backed Yes31c234.71$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c84…2c7ebacked Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.332853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.755646.4%26 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes31c193.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5519426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes31c183.87$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8711640.5%47 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2912748.8%62 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35d1…2bddbacked Yes32c158.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.321154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+57.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.259736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.254870.8%34 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x084d…7e47backed Yes32c144.76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46c6…a48ebacked No70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003450%17 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62fd…8bcfbacked No70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ea…5595backed No75c133.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes54c118.14$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7827454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7881…5c15backed Yes31c112.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb1…f87dbacked Yes33c102.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.635244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed9…2deebacked Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+80.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6923353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27d5…178fbacked Yes31c98.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480e…3e38backed Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.774254.8%23 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+44.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x05fa…7880backed No70c85.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No58c85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.322764.8%147 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Yes50c84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cb2…996cbacked Yes32c75.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.162842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b4…efc6backed No79c75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.220%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1114…d59abacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No70c68.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2512965.1%84 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed No60c68.41$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.052850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Yes20c65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.542240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.52556%14 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed No68c61.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.953033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc613…6a7fbacked No70c61.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked No69c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.411955.5%66 W · 53 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked No69c58.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.29955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes31c54.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.843253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes31c51.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6118052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No45c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3428246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5399…fab2backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.55339.6%21 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd98a…6bb7backed Yes21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes73c48.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-29.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes31c47.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6318239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca4b…0b9ebacked Yes31c46.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.252128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf17…9c04backed Yes52c42.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.326728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes31c41.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4320446.6%95 W · 109 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No68c40.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.319263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc759…b0d2backed No70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283327.3%9 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa59…aacabacked Yes55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No70c35.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257972.2%57 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b1…7d09backed Yes32c34.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.382147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300c…b72ebacked Yes43c33.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No67c32.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.451,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…9591backed Yes32c31.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+130.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4eea…cd67backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+102.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.253548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5e5…0659backed No70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed No70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c90…9d02backed Yes74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.