TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x671a…4541

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST3265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$309.72
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+37%+$195.32
Open de Moselle: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,059
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,415.24
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,471Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+130.8%+$1,924.65
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Laslo Djerebacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,457Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+106%+$1,543.81
Hellenic Championship: Damir Dzumhur vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,460
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,791Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$3,276.39
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Chennai Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Donna Vekicbacked Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,127.87
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,921Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+41.5%+$1,211.44
Chennai Open: Mia Pohankova vs Diane Parrybacked Pohankova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,832Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+168.8%+$4,781.14
Jiangxi Open: Lilli Tagger vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+46.1%+$921.11
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+141.5%+$2,830.95
Chennai Open: Joanna Garland vs Mei Yamaguchibacked Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,998Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+41.9%+$837.35
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$924
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+97.8%+$951.12
Jiangxi Open: Alycia Parks vs Kaja Juvanbacked Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+164.9%+$2,472.96
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$637.52
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,744Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$898.42
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,567Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$709.53
Rolex Paris Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$552
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,447Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+140.6%+$2,034.56
Chennai Open: Nao Hibino vs Mia Pohankovabacked Hibino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,567.38
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$847.32
Celtics vs. Magic: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$332.88
Hornets vs. Pelicansbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$161.6
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$337.92
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,352Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$636
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,081
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,951.25
Heat vs. Spursbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,267.96
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+151.4%+$1,968.31
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,331Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,331.31
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,959Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,959
Pacers vs. Mavericksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,998Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+73.3%+$1,464.07
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,220
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,070Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$930
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,580
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,483Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$798.54
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+101%+$610
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,341Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,341
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$30.64
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+127.3%+$379.78
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$249.23
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,953Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,953.5
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,327Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$3,327.13
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+52.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$887.04
West Virginia vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,068
UTEP vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+78.4%+$1,567.27
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$303.29
Furman Paladins vs. High Point Panthersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,332Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+54.7%+$728.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+103.6%+$694.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,737Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+80.4%+$2,199.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,186Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$558.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,022
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.