TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Pacers, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$930,163
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$998,721

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $930,163 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 442 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5afb…4511backed Pacers32c95,709$30,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,910.785540%22 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Mavericks69c69,507$47,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,657.1319249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Pacers32c47,758$15,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,282.645433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Mavericks68c41,601$28,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,312.3451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Pacers32c40,000$12,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,799.981428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Mavericks67c31,475$21,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,386.658843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8628…6f0bbacked Pacers31c28,125$8,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,718.783026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Mavericks64c23,582$15,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,559.5726038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks68c23,466$15,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,543.891,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Mavericks68c23,051$15,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,29771052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Mavericks68c21,943$14,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,987.7185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Pacers29c20,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mavericks66c18,783$12,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,364.081,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Mavericks67c15,311$10,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.0336148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Mavericks68c13,164$8,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,208.745149%25 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Pacers11c12,955$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d11…f279backed Pacers32c12,800$4,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,096540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks58c12,548$7,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,274.281529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pacers31c11,979$3,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,693.635235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a76…9aa9backed Mavericks54c10,189$5,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,686.931163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20074748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Mavericks56c9,475$5,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,204.6647448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Mavericks70c9,307$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,826.786155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Mavericks76c9,000$6,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.1812941.1%53 W · 76 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb3…26aebacked Pacers7c8,984$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.992828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d2…2280backed Mavericks69c8,649$5,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick63cpaid-56.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Pacers58c8,434$4,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,932.752755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Mavericks79c8,266$6,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.0416446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Pacers32c8,000$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,56011333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x429b…0688backed Mavericks69c7,400$5,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2943450%17 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers31c7,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1702,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf92a…c5eabacked Mavericks69c6,500$4,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef8b…8493backed Mavericks69c6,300$4,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks68c5,947$4,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.751,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Mavericks69c5,602$3,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.869852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Pacers32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9912144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Mavericks45c4,897$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,702.315339.6%21 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pacers12c4,594$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.482,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Pacers32c4,500$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9918142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Mavericks51c4,354$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Pacers34c4,008$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.625143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54b…d268backed Pacers9c4,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks68c3,522$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.099,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b42…e233backed Pacers31c3,383$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Pacers32c3,186$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.037142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Pacers32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Pacers32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96018047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9301,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Pacers34c2,947$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Pacers39c2,845$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.3247144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks70c2,839$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.892,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc2…b145backed Mavericks71c2,812$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.771266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f9…58c0backed Pacers31c2,700$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83770%0 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Mavericks72c2,500$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.7431347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Pacers36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90012334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks66c2,391$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Pacers59c2,389$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.3634852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Mavericks70c2,331$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.3144459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Pacers28c2,276$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.417946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22c…9050backed Mavericks69c2,184$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.212050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers31c2,050$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Pacers47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94017637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Mavericks71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58020453.9%110 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c2…39edbacked Pacers32c2,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63010635.8%38 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Mavericks69c1,873$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.0255346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f62…ac75backed Pacers8c1,760$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.86142.6%26 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500e…5822backed Pacers41c1,706$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.194645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mavericks70c1,706$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.9973647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a7…4efabacked Mavericks72c1,565$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.18683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+55.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Mavericks69c1,520$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.321,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Mavericks68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9882…d3bdbacked Mavericks70c1,500$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.45475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+64.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc787…4702backed Pacers31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c5…90dfbacked Mavericks68c1,479$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.161457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9edc…a0c0backed Pacers32c1,300$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4161233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers3c1,300$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Mavericks67c1,274$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.4243051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535b…ffd0backed Pacers40c1,141$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.722161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa29d…75f2backed Pacers14c1,128$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4275…6da8backed Pacers7c1,101$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1240%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Pacers48c1,100$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52322449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Mavericks51c1,074$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.0728448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Mavericks70c1,071$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.1995049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9599…3c20backed Pacers30c1,023$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.446428.1%18 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Pacers33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3306145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Pacers33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ff…e7f5backed Pacers29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Mavericks69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3105653.6%30 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Mavericks68c1,000$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Mavericks49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d2…9c77backed Mavericks72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2803050%15 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b3…3571backed Mavericks70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-55.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e9c…ab80backed Pacers40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Mavericks69c962.22$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.292733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7b0…9fb0backed Mavericks53c916.36$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.691050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d26…9466backed Mavericks70c900$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mavericks68c880$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.657760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e68…f99ebacked Mavericks72c826$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+41.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Pacers14c800.83$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1413133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.