TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52d2…2280

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 62 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+58%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,221.35
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$2,222.12
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 3 Winnerbacked Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,308Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$3,307.59
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$621.44
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$471.4
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,358Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+137.7%+$3,246.46
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,563Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+237.3%+$6,081.55
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+234.8%+$2,345.77
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,992Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$3,327.99
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,066Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$3,599.63
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,245Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+148.7%+$4,825.13
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$8,568Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$5,952.37
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,535Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+61.5%+$5,252.23
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,364Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$1,975.64
LoL: Los Heretics vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO5)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,312Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+56.4%+$1,303.77
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,074Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+57.2%+$2,332.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,397Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+83.6%+$2,004.56
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,954Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$1,390.32
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,714Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.4%+$1,762.3
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,371Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,370.64
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,758Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,758.01
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs B8 (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,987.92
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,802Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$2,916.59
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$3,000
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,988.58
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chennai Open: Joanna Garland vs Mei Yamaguchibacked Yamaguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,802.16
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$630
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinnbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$1,552.14
Swiss Indoors Basel: Casper Ruud vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$499.95
Guangzhou Open: Camila Osorio vs Ann Libacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,140.05
Swiss Indoors Basel: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,277Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$2,277.5
Pan Pacific Open: Marketa Vondrousova vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,990Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+65.2%+$2,601.63
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,741Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+68.7%+$1,882.87
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick63cpaid-56.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,968Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$2,681.12
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$3,020.07
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,366.13
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,367.35
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,684Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,684.49
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,211.72
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$8,635Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,635.34
All 7 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$5,203.27
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$3,772.67
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,975Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+64.1%+$2,546.95
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,444Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$3,218.05
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,917.42
Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,212.83
All 6 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Utah (-14.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$737.17
Florida State vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,718Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$1,593.38
Louisville vs. Miamibacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,020Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,587.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,287Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+86.2%+$2,835.28
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,371Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$1,021.76
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,090Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$589.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,835Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+71.5%+$2,741.34
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,731Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+37%+$640.72
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,237.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$2,292.85
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$8,827Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+59.9%+$5,285.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+113.4%+$330.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grant vs. Jourdainbacked Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,611Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$1,944.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,003.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,665Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$8,665.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Sociedad (-0.5)backed Sevilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,773.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.