CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75e69e106fc68f8d8fd86369c7c71748d7e20dc8361e15fe3d8621a3f6461c01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 28,739$14,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,067.19 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 18,513$9,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,536.53 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 17,265$9,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,115.18 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed TheMongolz | 47c | 15,111$7,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,091.05 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked TheMongolz | 47c | 14,161$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,709.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed TheMongolz | 24c | 7,124$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.2 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked TheMongolz | 35c | 6,532$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.16 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 6,050$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed TheMongolz | 50c | 6,000$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.86 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked TheMongolz | 48c | 5,741$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.46 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed TheMongolz | 50c | 5,584$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed TheMongolz | 13c | 5,346$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.28 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed TheMongolz | 45c | 4,422$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 4,031$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.3 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed TheMongolz | 46c | 3,931$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.26 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 3,621$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.21 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked TheMongolz | 48c | 3,380$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.04 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz | 45c | 3,136$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed TheMongolz | 34c | 2,642$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 58cpaid | -64%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.01 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 2,344$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.23 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed TheMongolz | 48c | 2,158$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.86 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed TheMongolz | 47c | 2,120$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.67 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed TheMongolz | 46c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…27c2backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,950$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked TheMongolz | 47c | 1,858$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.89 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,786$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.35 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,587$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.89 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,347$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.17 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41d…8fe1backed TheMongolz | 36c | 1,132$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed TheMongolz | 47c | 1,047$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.86 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,042$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.18 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…f5a1backed TheMongolz | 47c | 1,031$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…4f80backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked TheMongolz | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 988$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.36 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed TheMongolz | 43c | 978.36$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.31 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 878.25$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.76 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…41a7backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 836.49$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.89 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked TheMongolz | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 752$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.44 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…d761backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 730.1$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed TheMongolz | 48c | 629.94$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.37 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked TheMongolz | 25c | 551.33$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed TheMongolz | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed TheMongolz | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 462$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.76 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 454.93$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.45 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 450$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f93bbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 414.81$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.81 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63f…8032backed TheMongolz | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked TheMongolz | 31c | 375.17$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed TheMongolz | 48c | 360$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…911ebacked TheMongolz | 29c | 346.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed TheMongolz | 41c | 330$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed TheMongolz | 24c | 323$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked TheMongolz | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 238.76$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 221.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 218$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…5c4abacked TheMongolz | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed TheMongolz | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda45…d95bbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed TheMongolz | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 188$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked TheMongolz | 48c | 175$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked TheMongolz | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked TheMongolz | 26c | 140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…037abacked TheMongolz | 55c | 134.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed TheMongolz | 61c | 130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 129.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 126.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…eb3bbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -77%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked TheMongolz | 32c | 107$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed TheMongolz | 49c | 101.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed TheMongolz | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed TheMongolz | 21c | 95.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 95.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 94.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked TheMongolz | 48c | 81.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 80.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed TheMongolz | 29c | 75.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed TheMongolz | 16c | 74.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked TheMongolz | 70c | 74.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed TheMongolz | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked TheMongolz | 47c | 57.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed TheMongolz | 48c | 55.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…2875backed TheMongolz | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked TheMongolz | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked TheMongolz | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.