TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0fd…5b3c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST11644%51 W · 65 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 116 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$271
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$128.58
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$128.57
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$271.36
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+33.3%+$40.07
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+28.7%+$63.21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+64.8%+$38.85
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+117.4%+$165.2
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$58.89
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.05
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$56.39
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+51.5%+$16.67
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+79.9%+$47.91
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+58.7%+$23.49
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+73.5%+$36.74
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+93.7%+$46.83
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST2737%10 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Mackenzie McDonald vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24.73
Guangzhou Open: Shuai Zhang vs Ann Libacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Reilly Opelkabacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$23.33
Guangzhou Open: Katie Volynets vs Shuai Zhangbacked Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Guangzhou Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Ann Libacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.46
Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Ella Seidelbacked Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+264.2%+$268.69
Guangzhou Open: Lulu Sun vs Caty McNallybacked McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.16
Pan Pacific Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia Keninbacked Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+486%+$219.6
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Royer vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.9
Guangzhou Open: Shuai Zhang vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Guangzhou Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Guangzhou Open: Xiyu Wang vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jenson Brooksby vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+92.6%+$60.29
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Swiss Indoors Basel: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jiri Leheckabacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Pan Pacific Open: Diana Shnaider vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+75.1%+$26.29
Erste Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverevbacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Swiss Indoors Basel: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$425.49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.91
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+115.5%+$138.55
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+525%+$105
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$332.91
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+122.2%+$48.89
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.92
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$55.38
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+106.6%+$63.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-70.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$40
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+101.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$44.44
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Florida State vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.01
Utah vs. BYUbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$47.68
Grant vs. Jourdainbacked Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+114.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$46.96
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TSM vs Team Envy (BO3)backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Valorant: Team Solid vs Team Envy (BO3)backed Team Solid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$45.11
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Evercore (EVR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC WWC: Australia vs. Englandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.