TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
B8of B8, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a78…add7backed B841c8,418$3,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,944.781,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked paiN45c6,180$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.093,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed paiN55c6,100$3,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,354.9957647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed B845c4,149$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.8823355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked B848c3,575$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.443,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed B810c3,497$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.96432.8%21 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed B821c3,253$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.0632425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed paiN50c3,100$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55017249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed B848c2,458$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.844,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked paiN65c2,307$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.8432348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked paiN38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7604219%8 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed paiN43c2,000$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.0541850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked B865c1,787$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.5583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN59c1,653$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.81,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed B849c1,585$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.326549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe145…42d5backed paiN59c1,283$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked paiN45c1,236$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.369141.8%38 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked paiN41c1,232$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed B845c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6608749.4%43 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed B857c1,175$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.4246345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed paiN51c1,175$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60034156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed B843c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.1510047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed B845c1,138$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.8581843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf583…7b6bbacked paiN44c1,091$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ee…4d54backed paiN48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4635…9f6fbacked B868c992$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.445862.1%36 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed B869c882.99$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.122554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked paiN41c878.05$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.7426351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x159f…5862backed B845c795.56$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed B864c781.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.641770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed paiN66c758.24$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.446648.5%32 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed paiN64c700$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44958961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf2…6a11backed paiN53c653.22$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.62931%9 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-43%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x92ab…2b99backed paiN78c652.74$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.522846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed B847c635.37$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.379037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked paiN35c599.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105040%20 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked paiN68c571.2$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.1335550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked B845c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5613460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked B838c500.11$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.072045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked B866c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17010442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae8d…210fbacked paiN43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN50c433.87$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.941,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked B848c415$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2159050%45 W · 45 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked B850c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20031933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed paiN30c364.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2460838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4087…1665backed paiN56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002532%8 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb26c…46ddbacked B843c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.842138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed paiN41c344.37$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.665324.5%13 W · 40 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf632…02aabacked paiN43c338.42$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.034522.2%10 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked B865c308.97$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.141478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+60.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed paiN66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19858651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fcc…25e1backed B871c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed B846c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed B823c300$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2319734%33 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed B869c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8615162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed paiN43c266.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.810529.5%31 W · 74 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fd…104ebacked paiN39c263.21$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.651338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed B825c256.63$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6322942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x422b…093dbacked B875c225.67$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.195066%33 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed paiN69c215.89$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.978446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74fc…f12bbacked B865c209.4$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.291172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed B828c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14411558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x636d…6468backed B810c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe82f…4865backed paiN26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ad…4bc9backed B847c175.53$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.032755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a64…f042backed paiN57c175.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked paiN57c169.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4623646.2%109 W · 127 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a83…50d3backed B818c166.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.673976.9%30 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick75cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…e109backed paiN39c157.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.582133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed paiN55c153.74$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72f4…ea5dbacked B824c138.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.361233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5165…252bbacked B878c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a4…9bbebacked paiN33c120.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick34cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x385c…6915backed paiN35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed B817c110.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5224155.6%134 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed B847c108.49$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.552449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfd2…7a82backed paiN54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…8911backed B851c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493847.4%18 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed B814c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8618041.7%75 W · 105 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed B849c97.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.962941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6da8…d660backed B868c94.64$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.672060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aaf…c132backed paiN51c94.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.246756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3de…f2ffbacked B827c93.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.434040%16 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN51c93.4$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.511,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b4d…3e1bbacked B879c92.11$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.342544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed paiN55c90.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.982948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed paiN28c87.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4811553%61 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked B857c79.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0684037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f6…eafebacked B853c75.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.741181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed paiN67c74.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0674…d6c1backed B841c73.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.611442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f55…6389backed paiN76c65.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503086.7%26 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+30.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed B864c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.545455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9979…7d4ebacked B865c55.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5383…bffcbacked paiN38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe761…cdb1backed B866c51.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.757958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed paiN60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022556.9%128 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8684…b673backed B850c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+55.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed B864c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1842057.1%240 W · 180 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed paiN52c48.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514848%71 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.