TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
B8of B8, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$612,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$676,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $612,655 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed B851c71,916$36,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,238.927363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked paiN49c44,072$21,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,595.239861.2%60 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed B851c30,411$15,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,901.271323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-51.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked paiN48c25,950$12,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,538.6117148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed B860c24,988$14,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,082.834,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed paiN18c18,888$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.8488242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed B852c18,710$9,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,993.7925842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed B851c18,293$9,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,033.659942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed B862c18,021$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,920.951,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09a6…a8f8backed paiN19c15,713$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed paiN49c15,555$7,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,621.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be6…2006backed paiN68c14,684$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed paiN49c13,290$6,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,510.64555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d61…12f6backed B852c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed paiN49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9457647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked paiN49c9,000$4,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,38014934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked B850c8,007$4,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,964.4713646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked B851c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,92081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed paiN52c7,762$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed paiN41c7,496$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.3667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN37c6,605$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4421,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked paiN31c6,483$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefb3…02bfbacked paiN32c5,993$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.171353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed B851c5,642$2,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,764.3715347.1%72 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed B849c5,500$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.443452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed paiN50c5,425$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.524846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked paiN57c5,251$2,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99232348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed B852c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked B859c4,360$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.123,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed paiN61c3,940$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.211457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed B853c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.6819448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked paiN48c3,766$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.5819834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked B870c3,732$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.321,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked B857c3,684$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.4527452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed B833c3,035$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.537245.8%33 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0931…61dcbacked paiN50c3,025$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked paiN20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9461228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed B852c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4404362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9095…2f3fbacked paiN46c2,978$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.068852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed paiN49c2,854$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.562958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed paiN53c2,783$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.7421055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28ba…4e57backed B854c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.197349.3%36 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked paiN29c2,623$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.2410442.3%44 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked paiN23c2,605$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.911846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed paiN49c2,451$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.361656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed paiN23c2,414$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.81,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf512…40e3backed paiN48c2,347$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.032544%11 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed paiN32c2,254$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.316741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed B879c2,245$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.1622554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x581a…c986backed B851c2,080$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked paiN49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed paiN48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96010252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf1…c324backed paiN50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed paiN48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96013954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed B851c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7810043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a3…8d0cbacked B853c1,880$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+113.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c80…b91fbacked paiN49c1,794$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.621060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked B843c1,790$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.739141.8%38 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed paiN27c1,697$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.669337.6%35 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked paiN43c1,683$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.862045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed B846c1,625$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.810047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed paiN40c1,564$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.9753746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d2…2c6fbacked paiN49c1,527$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.231838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x303a…4e9cbacked paiN47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc6…a3bcbacked paiN47c1,448$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked paiN48c1,400$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67222056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked paiN27c1,339$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.182,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61b…3984backed B867c1,303$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.588657%49 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed B855c1,250$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.458267.1%55 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed paiN35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42046345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked paiN55c1,135$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.116968.1%47 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked B852c1,123$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.1929855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed paiN18c1,082$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked paiN45c1,075$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.991,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed paiN49c1,067$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.6626344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe161…4ebfbacked paiN47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked B851c1,060$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.420855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb61d…587bbacked B852c1,050$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed paiN20c1,016$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20043933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked B852c1,015$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.6461754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed B862c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38028351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked B852c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4805547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked B851c999.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9915449.4%76 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce3…6e9cbacked paiN49c990$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed paiN49c985$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.0239239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da1…00b6backed paiN48c976$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed B852c960.58$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.085438.9%21 W · 33 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked paiN49c932.8$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.071,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked paiN34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022754.2%123 W · 104 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0352…4408backed paiN49c878.99$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed paiN47c834.79$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.933644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed B853c824.89$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.4434146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed B853c800$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.034045%18 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed B854c798.34$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.3422942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec3b…3418backed B863c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked paiN49c788.37$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38626045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed paiN17c776.93$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0821051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b4…5193backed B852c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.236454.7%35 W · 29 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked B849c768.24$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.4413460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked B850c758.82$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.411,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.