TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6be6…2006

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Cricket at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23,227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$6,492.01
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,501Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$2,730.86
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,800
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28,859.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17,000
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.4%+$4,671.3
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+28.5%+$4,552.6
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-GANK Esports (BO3)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$9,452Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+36.4%+$3,444.07
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3)backed GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+27.4%+$1,285.93
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15,000
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15,507Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+37.5%+$5,817.41
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10,000
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs 500 - Map 2 Winnerbacked 500 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$3,089.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+183%+$27,456.47
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+30.1%+$1,803.9
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10,000
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+31.7%+$951.54
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+49.3%+$1,477.61
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+45.8%+$1,373.87
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,458.84
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10,000
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$6,000
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Imperial (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+52.4%+$2,094.12
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+71.4%+$1,785.4
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2580%20 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40,000
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7,388.06
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+57.7%+$23,085.16
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2,658.23
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7,593.75
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7,672.13
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$6,000
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+58.5%+$3,511.66
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5,625
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,809Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+88%+$5,111.49
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25%+$1,500
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,004Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+43.9%+$1,319.37
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Knicks vs. Mavericks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$141.18
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneylinebacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+25%+$7.5
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+96.6%+$7,054.08
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+25.4%+$1,956.58
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$300
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+68.5%+$3,012.2
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+25%+$25
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$1,223.96
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+35%+$3,502.59
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,576Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$1,942.93
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,799.09
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+156.4%+$69.45
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,549Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+127%+$3,237.18
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Katie Boulter vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,993Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+34.8%+$2,433.62
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Martin Landaluce vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+54.4%+$1,632.88
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$6,993.14
Prizmic vs. Basavareddy: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$38
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Alcaraz vs. Musetti: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+30%+$599.77
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 8 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+59.2%+$3,554.94
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kazakhstan vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+156.4%+$312.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+58.9%+$11,776.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+27.6%+$55.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$210.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military action against Iraq before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,359.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11,608.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.