TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Imperial (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Imperialof fnatic, Imperial
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$244,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,646 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked Imperial45c22,995$10,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,647.0883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Imperial75c21,636$16,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,323.7222468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Imperial56c15,831$8,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,979.551,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Imperial45c13,378$6,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,357.889861.2%60 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Imperial46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40060853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Imperial44c9,953$4,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,573.99942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed fnatic55c8,022$4,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,451.8972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed fnatic54c8,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.953237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked fnatic46c7,491$3,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,472.553,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial55c6,473$3,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.564,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be6…2006backed Imperial66c6,094$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.122965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed fnatic55c5,460$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00310549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…5276backed Imperial45c3,918$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75c4…4cd0backed fnatic55c3,700$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Imperial42c3,451$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.821,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9095…2f3fbacked fnatic56c3,411$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9108852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed fnatic54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6208042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ba…4e57backed fnatic55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6507349.3%36 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked fnatic55c2,911$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.9811353.1%60 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed fnatic50c2,732$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.3253746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed fnatic55c2,727$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50034156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked fnatic55c2,727$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed fnatic55c2,651$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.221233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Imperial56c2,611$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.871,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c2…273dbacked fnatic55c2,085$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1471250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked fnatic48c2,085$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.5261228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Imperial46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08010442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Imperial45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.931,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65f7…86ddbacked fnatic42c1,922$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.773735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked fnatic55c1,811$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99625751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed fnatic56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-57.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Imperial61c1,784$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.521,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed fnatic53c1,763$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.0281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked fnatic55c1,728$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.5727452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf1…5c57backed fnatic30c1,645$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002528%7 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-45.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked fnatic57c1,640$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.81,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Imperial47c1,581$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.6132425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Imperial44c1,558$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.329855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked fnatic45c1,500$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.2875245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed fnatic55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82557647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38fe…e150backed fnatic52c1,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.63862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61b…3984backed Imperial43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.998657%49 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed fnatic54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.8924139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed fnatic57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.8844648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed fnatic55c1,369$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.217247.7%82 W · 90 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Imperial43c1,326$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.7823952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed fnatic55c1,247$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.5846949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed fnatic57c1,224$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.886659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked fnatic40c1,199$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.335431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked fnatic55c1,144$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6299147.3%43 W · 48 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed fnatic48c1,095$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52996545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Imperial45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55013646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked fnatic54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.992729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed fnatic54c991$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.149656.3%54 W · 42 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed fnatic55c979.49$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.721421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick47cpaid-50.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Imperial64c918.22$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.171,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked fnatic52c888$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.9819043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked fnatic55c776.98$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.341,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Imperial50c749.39$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.436432.8%21 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x286c…caffbacked Imperial64c721.42$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.712860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Imperial50c702.21$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.213865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked fnatic36c700.02$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.041,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed fnatic38c692.22$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.073938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe761…cdb1backed Imperial46c690.99$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.037958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc651…15d3backed Imperial46c619.57$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.5710635.8%38 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Imperial52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28846340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed fnatic57c555$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.3515749%77 W · 80 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed fnatic55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…c791backed Imperial46c545.45$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.455644.6%25 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked fnatic48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked fnatic56c506$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.363237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed fnatic56c506$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.362045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Imperial46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27034235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Imperial45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9928351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked fnatic46c496.14$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22816649.4%82 W · 84 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked fnatic51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked Imperial59c474.19$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1939353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Imperial43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1278639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed fnatic55c460$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Imperial46c459.7$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.248764.4%56 W · 31 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Imperial44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5513460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed fnatic44c450.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012641.3%52 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed fnatic28c448.58$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0313537.8%51 W · 84 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Imperial38c447$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.1441850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf58d…914abacked Imperial45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.449252.2%48 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Imperial58c435.25$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.82,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed fnatic47c429.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e90…af65backed Imperial45c425.1$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.111149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Imperial46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2167653.9%41 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3f…da87backed fnatic28c399.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed fnatic55c372.15$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.6826344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Imperial43c364$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4822056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32ee…3d48backed fnatic50c354.65$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked fnatic57c351.89$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.318443.5%80 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed fnatic56c338$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2811654.3%63 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ff…4303backed fnatic35c334.29$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1173447.1%16 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed fnatic55c333.33$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.335,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked fnatic29c310.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Imperial44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed Imperial60c297.89$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9422560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.