TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe5c0…3cd3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
283
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT22560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 225 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.95
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.27
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$49.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.68
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$31.71
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$40.27
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$40.36
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$238.68
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+421.1%+$428.29
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$265
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$171.61
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.66
Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,300
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$733.22
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$229.74
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$580
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$384.41
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+37.1%+$348.44
Will Team Falcons win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$79.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$278.53
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$140.55
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$134.78
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$171.42
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$224.4
Showing 25 of 225 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT4353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$40.07
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$785.4
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$53.16
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+135%+$189.58
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$484.2
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$166
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.4
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$59.8
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+70.1%+$70.08
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$87.53
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+61.5%+$122.92
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$67.39
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$104.55
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$33.71
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$34.14
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-78%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-73%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+44.1%+$88.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.