CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dc8f02fda0074da9ff3e6363701cb77341a9c692e80831c57a583b852b983aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof FURIA, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,853,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,816,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,853,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,617 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 582,976$189,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393,100.46 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 80,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,999.86 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed FURIA | 70c | 74,425$52,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,308.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA | 62c | 69,979$43,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,659.25 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed FURIA | 72c | 58,480$41,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,997.65 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x869c…2483backed FURIA | 67c | 51,131$34,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,320.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed FURIA | 68c | 48,918$33,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,477.38 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 48,247$32,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,495.65 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed FURIA | 47c | 47,670$22,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,524.84 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 46,124$23,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,139.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 41,715$10,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,989.24 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked FURIA | 1c | 41,122$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.33 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…f543backed FURIA | 47c | 35,796$16,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,802.28 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed FURIA | 68c | 34,369$23,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,518.78 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 32,257$10,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,151.98 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 32,119$8,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,757.17 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…92e8backed FURIA | 75c | 32,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 29,830$7,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,519.71 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked FURIA | 54c | 29,457$15,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,974.2 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 29,160$19,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,412.28 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed FURIA | 32c | 27,835$8,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,954.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 27,111$15,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,152.15 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked FURIA | 75c | 27,000$20,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,188.99 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed FURIA | 74c | 26,722$19,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,773.35 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked FURIA | 18c | 25,220$4,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,524.76 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked FURIA | 74c | 24,955$18,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,471.02 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed FURIA | 33c | 24,666$8,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,141.24 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eec…3193backed FURIA | 0c | 24,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed FURIA | 76c | 22,376$17,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,005.76 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 20,918$10,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,711.42 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed FURIA | 69c | 20,512$14,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,074.22 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed FURIA | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed FURIA | 70c | 20,000$14,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,087.7 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -9.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked FURIA | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA | 37c | 18,959$7,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,038.91 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FURIA | 15c | 18,526$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.91 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 18,475$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,020.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed FURIA | 47c | 18,392$8,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,563.6 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA | 32c | 17,600$5,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,637.12 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 17,436$9,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,195.06 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked FURIA | 3c | 17,020$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.95 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…4e57backed FURIA | 76c | 16,494$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 15,803$9,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,709.28 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 15,740$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,673.91 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe4…dbbcbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 14,657$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,926.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…e30dbacked FURIA | 43c | 14,353$6,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,159.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed FURIA | 74c | 13,281$9,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,828 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6629…d64fbacked FURIA | 47c | 13,128$6,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,170 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked FURIA | 47c | 13,064$6,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,140 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 12,976$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,731.93 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed FURIA | 65c | 12,760$8,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,230.73 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 12,598$5,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,954.87 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed FURIA | 74c | 12,000$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,900 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 12,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.99 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 12,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.92 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed FURIA | 21c | 11,700$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FURIA | 26c | 11,696$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.07 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…85d8backed FURIA | 56c | 11,370$6,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,406 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 11,299$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,474.59 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed FURIA | 77c | 11,000$8,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,470 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked FURIA | 65c | 10,367$6,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,739 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed FURIA | 63c | 10,187$6,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,414.86 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed FURIA | 75c | 10,139$7,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,564.15 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 10,045$5,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,931.45 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed FURIA | 75c | 10,000$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,449.97 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked FURIA | 75c | 9,631$7,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,223.09 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FURIA | 39c | 9,564$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.99 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed FURIA | 61c | 9,511$5,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,810 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 9,433$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,983.42 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x462f…14c2backed FURIA | 76c | 9,404$7,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,146.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…cc5ebacked FURIA | 76c | 9,108$6,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,922.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 8,906$5,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380.38 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed FURIA | 74c | 8,445$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 8,419$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,414.23 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6010…1182backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 8,085$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,985.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed FURIA | 74c | 8,000$5,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,920 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked FURIA | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e1…c852backed FURIA | 6c | 7,816$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed FURIA | 48c | 7,541$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.84 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6397…cd96backed FURIA | 49c | 7,419$3,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,658 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed FURIA | 68c | 7,354$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,975.31 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA | 23c | 7,335$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.88 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 7,266$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,963.9 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…baa4backed FURIA | 75c | 6,811$5,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,108 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b665backed FURIA | 75c | 6,805$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.04 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked FURIA | 57c | 6,789$3,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,892.2 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked FURIA | 47c | 6,776$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.7 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 6,737$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,187.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414f…29a2backed FURIA | 75c | 6,727$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed FURIA | 74c | 6,681$4,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.11 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…6040backed FURIA | 75c | 6,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed FURIA | 75c | 6,520$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…be6cbacked FURIA | 21c | 6,500$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 6,367$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.38 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46f…0cc2backed FURIA | 76c | 6,299$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed FURIA | 48c | 6,290$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FURIA | 67c | 6,265$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.66 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed FURIA | 75c | 6,189$4,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,641.65 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 6,101$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.