CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x243c512f46e29d29934b32c09ccbc95a07c9a5e7ec7fbdf666ac9209cf3d1e72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof FURIA, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $498,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $564,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,599.98 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 48,652$17,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,319.25 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 38,857$17,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,967.49 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked FURIA | 65c | 34,231$22,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,111.53 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked FURIA | 65c | 28,318$18,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,289.61 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 22,514$11,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,060.2 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed FURIA | 64c | 21,422$13,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,774.53 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…0a96backed FURIA | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 15,561$7,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,354.4 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 14,249$5,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,737.02 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 10,616$5,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,237.93 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 10,047$6,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.67 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 9,432$4,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,122.71 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 8,643$6,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.25 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 7,789$4,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,578.72 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed FURIA | 64c | 7,767$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.95 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed FURIA | 45c | 6,058$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.33 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 5,890$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828.51 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9a…5f9cbacked FURIA | 56c | 5,554$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,126.87 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…e4babacked FURIA | 51c | 5,004$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 4,492$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.58 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed FURIA | 16c | 3,784$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.46 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 3,576$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.89 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed FURIA | 64c | 3,527$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.79 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed FURIA | 36c | 3,380$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.8 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 3,145$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.5 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4327…cf00backed FURIA | 64c | 3,145$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked FURIA | 65c | 3,122$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.98 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,035$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.13 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,892$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.6 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 2,890$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.53 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…1cd9backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,631$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.05 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.56 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed FURIA | 65c | 2,182$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.76 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed FURIA | 65c | 2,143$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.02 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,058$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.54 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked FURIA | 66c | 2,007$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.66 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x928e…d701backed FURIA | 50c | 2,000$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.21 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…9527backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f3…8cbdbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,996$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FURIA | 22c | 1,980$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.95 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf1…5c57backed FURIA | 65c | 1,968$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.49 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,945$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.21 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,907$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.73 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FURIA | 63c | 1,900$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.95 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FURIA | 50c | 1,876$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.48 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…f25bbacked FURIA | 64c | 1,850$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,816$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.27 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…d116backed FURIA | 56c | 1,778$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed FURIA | 64c | 1,605$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed FURIA | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked FURIA | 8c | 1,563$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed FURIA | 44c | 1,550$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.99 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed FURIA | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed FURIA | 60c | 1,329$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,321$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.75 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac04…e9e4backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,296$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed FURIA | 57c | 1,281$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.22 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked FURIA | 33c | 1,111$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.82 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,093$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked FURIA | 64c | 1,086$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked FURIA | 55c | 1,080$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.56 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,079$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.25 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,042$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.56 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked FURIA | 1c | 1,040$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,000$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.11 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…0e47backed FURIA | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked FURIA | 63c | 988.4$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.57 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 961.13$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…f349backed FURIA | 65c | 951.82$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.68 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 945.28$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.53 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…e28cbacked FURIA | 12c | 928.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 918.18$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.45 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked FURIA | 63c | 904.94$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.63 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 828.08$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.97 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked FURIA | 53c | 799.99$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.99 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…6040backed FURIA | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 777$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.28 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…3030backed FURIA | 54c | 768.68$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 752.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.79 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…66a1backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 750$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed FURIA | 67c | 748.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed FURIA | 66c | 742.42$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 726.72$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.97 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…116abacked FURIA | 59c | 697.47$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked FURIA | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…6c2ebacked FURIA | 65c | 649.17$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked FURIA | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…a50bbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 635.53$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a9…3f60backed FURIA | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked FURIA | 65c | 614.77$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…90cfbacked FURIA | 63c | 609.66$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.22 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed FURIA | 66c | 609.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 601.01$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.24 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed FURIA | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…5705backed FURIA | 5c | 599.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.