TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb55f…5705

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT605%3 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.89
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$56.66
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$179.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$83.23
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16.27
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+2,400%+$243.92
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$24.45
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2326.1%6 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+101.3%+$150.99
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+181.9%+$148.4
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Ranger FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$49.95
Ranger FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+264.7%+$275.8
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60.4
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$57.65
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$76.1
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$452.27
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$400
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$83.09
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+645.2%+$751.89
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$114.24
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Lighter Airdrop on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.05
Lighter Airdrop on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+349.4%+$229.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.