CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacd3903ace4742f580d6db3106dc3c5d7e78f99856a4cf90aa0bebcdca11e801
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Natus Vincere, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 14,170$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.29 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Spirit | 68c | 11,831$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.75 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 8,018$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.08 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 6,632$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 4,853$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.09 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…ea16backed Spirit | 65c | 3,400$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bf…ebbcbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 2,764$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 2,319$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,227$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.83 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 2,136$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spirit | 64c | 1,937$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.35 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 1,842$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5a…35a8backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 1,824$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,600$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.99 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…edebbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 1,360$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Spirit | 73c | 1,360$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.73 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Spirit | 62c | 1,173$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.71 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…5705backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 1,141$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Spirit | 65c | 1,087$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.93 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…8f01backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 938.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Spirit | 66c | 836.05$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.26 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ec…dab9backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 830.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…6001backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 718.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 710.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 655.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 653$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…482ebacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 577.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…454fbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 499.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 483.85$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.77 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 405$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92b…57efbacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 388.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Spirit | 67c | 378.9$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 368.36$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 319.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Spirit | 78c | 298$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…63c0backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 278.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked Spirit | 73c | 275.12$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e26…7650backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 274.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…5104backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 262.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 67 | 14.9%10 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 210$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Spirit | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Spirit | 72c | 199.95$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…9d1ebacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 183.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 156.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…4d4dbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 124.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…c22abacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 120.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…601fbacked Spirit | 78c | 111.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…e9e3backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…93f2backed Spirit | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 99.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 80.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…5100backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 79.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…b446backed Spirit | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb649…e988backed Spirit | 67c | 74.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 71.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…225cbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 69.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ca…8f8fbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…f86ebacked Spirit | 79c | 59.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Spirit | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…5f3ebacked Spirit | 65c | 54.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…9c9fbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 50.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…6613backed Spirit | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…1445backed Spirit | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…af48backed Spirit | 65c | 46.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4b…2488backed Spirit | 64c | 43.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63c…3dc4backed Spirit | 68c | 40.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Spirit | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 39.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked Spirit | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Spirit | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe640…6f8dbacked Spirit | 64c | 15.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Spirit | 65c | 15.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.