TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9777…6b53

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST19732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 197 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.68
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$87.27
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+203%+$474.46
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+527.3%+$371.54
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+216.9%+$410.67
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+218.5%+$218.57
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$55.12
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$107.45
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.2%+$92.74
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$89.37
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$131
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+148.4%+$423.73
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+65.7%+$153.18
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$98.97
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #17 Playoffsbacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+257.6%+$149.07
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60.34
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: East Asian Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$37.7
Counter-Strike: Players vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stagebacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$38.54
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$197.94
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs illwill (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$119.1
Counter-Strike: magic vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffsbacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$140.13
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup 1 Playoffsbacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200.02
Showing 25 of 197 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-70.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$74.99
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$77.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Francisco Comesanabacked Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$255.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$99.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$83.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.