CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bff23c14270263868bc4217f25169f1eb648a4905106d0de6e4b294f5edab62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of NIP, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $880,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $992,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $880,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 516 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked NIP | 54c | 142,972$77,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,241.72 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked NIP | 53c | 53,042$28,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,095.08 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed M80 | 44c | 53,004$23,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,687.84 | 417 | 49.9%208 W · 209 L | +20.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked M80 | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…8586backed M80 | 42c | 44,379$18,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,526.74 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked M80 | 48c | 41,667$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,666.67 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed M80 | 44c | 38,668$17,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,659.69 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked NIP | 59c | 29,426$17,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,335.21 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NIP | 25c | 20,475$5,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.57 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed M80 | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,800 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked M80 | 40c | 19,444$7,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,571.93 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked NIP | 59c | 16,915$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.01 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked M80 | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed NIP | 60c | 14,003$8,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,402.02 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed M80 | 55c | 10,633$5,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,817.59 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…ccb1backed M80 | 54c | 8,000$4,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed NIP | 30c | 7,847$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.3 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…e756backed M80 | 47c | 7,383$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NIP | 18c | 7,314$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.24 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed M80 | 42c | 7,138$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.89 | 464 | 43.1%200 W · 264 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked M80 | 43c | 7,102$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.35 | 1,634 | 44.7%731 W · 903 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed M80 | 52c | 6,991$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.86 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed NIP | 59c | 5,964$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.65 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed NIP | 59c | 5,598$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.82 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked M80 | 48c | 5,147$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.94 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed NIP | 37c | 5,011$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.45 | 423 | 41.8%177 W · 246 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed NIP | 53c | 4,705$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e36…8ec0backed M80 | 72c | 4,187$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed M80 | 41c | 4,054$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.02 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked NIP | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked NIP | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed M80 | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 724 | 46.4%336 W · 388 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked NIP | 55c | 3,952$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.9 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked M80 | 41c | 3,775$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.2 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5a…b691backed M80 | 76c | 3,725$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…2d20backed NIP | 43c | 3,678$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.88 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed M80 | 58c | 3,209$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.46 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked M80 | 46c | 3,157$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.78 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed NIP | 53c | 3,067$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.54 | 373 | 45.6%170 W · 203 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked M80 | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed M80 | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked NIP | 20c | 2,993$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.8 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked M80 | 41c | 2,927$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.75 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed NIP | 27c | 2,671$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.82 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed M80 | 42c | 2,573$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.71 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed M80 | 56c | 2,350$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.38 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed NIP | 2c | 2,280$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed M80 | 44c | 2,264$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.42 | 237 | 40.9%97 W · 140 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 28c | 2,138$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.61 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked NIP | 34c | 2,124$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.61 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked M80 | 69c | 2,028$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.43 | 623 | 54.9%342 W · 281 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed M80 | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed NIP | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.98 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…52a5backed M80 | 78c | 1,999$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.07 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed NIP | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked M80 | 42c | 1,674$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.24 | 1,740 | 47%817 W · 923 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed NIP | 37c | 1,633$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…b1a9backed NIP | 35c | 1,631$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed M80 | 43c | 1,607$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.36 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed M80 | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 1,432 | 33.6%481 W · 951 L | +41.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed NIP | 31c | 1,500$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.7 | 573 | 36.1%207 W · 366 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed M80 | 47c | 1,482$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.62 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked NIP | 41c | 1,463$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.55 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked M80 | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.91 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…9f23backed M80 | 69c | 1,454$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…dd64backed M80 | 71c | 1,447$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.12 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed M80 | 42c | 1,422$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.23 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked M80 | 74c | 1,404$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.39 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed NIP | 30c | 1,380$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.94 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed M80 | 62c | 1,341$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.22 | 625 | 37.8%236 W · 389 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed M80 | 72c | 1,338$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.16 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP | 26c | 1,331$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.35 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed M80 | 46c | 1,314$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.34 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed M80 | 44c | 1,310$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked M80 | 65c | 1,269$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.97 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…8b22backed M80 | 45c | 1,250$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…1b03backed M80 | 41c | 1,207$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.72 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…44c3backed M80 | 43c | 1,204$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.78 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…8c6ebacked M80 | 42c | 1,198$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed M80 | 47c | 1,173$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.39 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed NIP | 51c | 1,153$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.11 | 825 | 43%355 W · 470 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed M80 | 46c | 1,142$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.24 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed M80 | 65c | 1,108$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.69 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed M80 | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…b3a0backed NIP | 33c | 1,095$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed NIP | 38c | 1,086$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 561 | 32.6%183 W · 378 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed NIP | 52c | 1,082$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…96f6backed M80 | 45c | 1,037$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed M80 | 73c | 1,027$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.83 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed M80 | 46c | 1,023$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.44 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed NIP | 59c | 1,005$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed M80 | 67c | 1,002$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.01 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed M80 | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked M80 | 58c | 1,000$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.97 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed M80 | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed M80 | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 978 | 40.7%398 W · 580 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed M80 | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked NIP | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked M80 | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed NIP | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.89 | 797 | 40%319 W · 478 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1this page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.