TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb6a…dd64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,433
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+41%+$421.12
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+38.8%+$484.39
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$274.33
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$123.13
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$351.35
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$922Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$921.77
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$615
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$542.99
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.6%+$356.27
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.31
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+65.2%+$133.02
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$134.78
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$168.75
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Antalya 2: Mayar Sherif vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$521
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Rei Sakamotobacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,648Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+35.7%+$589.15
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Sinja Kraus vs Storm Hunterbacked Storm Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$96.49
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Dalma Galfi vs Yue Yuanbacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+32.1%+$105.91
New Delhi: Dane Sweeny vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$288
Rio Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$87.43
Delray Beach Open: Nuno Borges vs Coleman Wongbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$941.98
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Katerina Siniakova vs Paula Badosabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+33.3%+$192
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanubacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$60.74
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Belinda Bencic vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+25.9%+$129.58
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+35.2%+$105.49
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,405.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$252.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.