TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cirsteaof Cirstea, Sasnovich
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,980

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c7c…1439backed Sasnovich0c9,660$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.122920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Cirstea71c7,558$5,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.7627063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sasnovich5c7,149$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.532,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sasnovich9c5,989$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.532,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Sasnovich30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9823126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Sasnovich29c4,116$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.631,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Sasnovich4c3,233$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Cirstea77c2,452$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.865558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sasnovich26c2,276$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.8376140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Cirstea70c2,143$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.8657249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sasnovich13c2,018$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.897,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sasnovich18c1,848$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.692,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Sasnovich30c1,650$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Cirstea73c1,261$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.3421959.4%130 W · 89 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Sasnovich31c1,164$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.8431332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Cirstea69c1,156$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.3628552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Cirstea74c972.97$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9716665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Sasnovich4c934.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.782,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Cirstea72c833.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3314568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Sasnovich22c705.89$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7945457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Sasnovich18c651.17$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.862,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Sasnovich20c587.69$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.72,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Cirstea72c556.78$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7841955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Cirstea71c555$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9531753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fbb…0160backed Cirstea70c436.7$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.011291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb6a…dd64backed Cirstea74c405.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.491163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d3d…7a79backed Cirstea72c374.89$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.896762.7%42 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Sasnovich14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Sasnovich13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920039%78 W · 122 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Cirstea73c296.03$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9310757.9%62 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa206…0f9bbacked Cirstea70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…221dbacked Sasnovich31c280.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Cirstea74c270.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.491,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6155…01a5backed Sasnovich10c270$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-86.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Sasnovich15c258.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Cirstea78c255.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6146551.2%238 W · 227 L-23.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Sasnovich4c250.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeba…7a91backed Sasnovich11c228.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.72927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Sasnovich9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Cirstea78c216.47$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.861,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa288…adbebacked Sasnovich11c196.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.73745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Sasnovich27c185.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5069350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4223…ba77backed Sasnovich9c178$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4770%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Cirstea75c160$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4039872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Sasnovich18c147$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2497046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Cirstea70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8631749.5%157 W · 160 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Cirstea71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8516558.8%97 W · 68 L-0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Cirstea73c137.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1217262.8%108 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Cirstea73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9952460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Sasnovich26c119.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.694,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Sasnovich25c118.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Cirstea70c114.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2957349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Sasnovich21c114$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.941,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Cirstea76c105.39$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.392,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Sasnovich29c102.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1828…cee7backed Sasnovich21c100.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75b…b4f5backed Cirstea80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206563.1%41 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Sasnovich30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Cirstea70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3018863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sasnovich12c99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.887,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Sasnovich14c98.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4713338.3%51 W · 82 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Sasnovich31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x855f…4954backed Cirstea74c95.69$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9410570.5%74 W · 31 L+0.5wins0.00per pick70cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Cirstea71c94.37$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3710668.9%73 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18aa…2287backed Cirstea74c83.04$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.697169%49 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Cirstea70c72.15$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.397839.7%31 W · 47 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Sasnovich30c71.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.446327%17 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf77…d66dbacked Cirstea70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.436053.3%32 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef96…54dfbacked Cirstea70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Cirstea70c71.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.421,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sasnovich21c70.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.896,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Cirstea73c65.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.585745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Cirstea79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2960661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ee…0bb0backed Sasnovich16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-48%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab8f…99e1backed Sasnovich31c60.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x190d…7516backed Sasnovich31c58.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sasnovich26c52.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.693,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sasnovich28c50.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.213,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Cirstea72c43.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3138048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Cirstea71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2510863.9%69 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Sasnovich26c41.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Sasnovich31c39.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3615343.8%67 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18b1…c5c4backed Cirstea76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.472070%14 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b05…1d33backed Cirstea70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfef9…67afbacked Cirstea76c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+139.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Cirstea70c32.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.613369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Cirstea70c28.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7194060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dac…a46bbacked Cirstea70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc871…2f76backed Cirstea76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.328169.1%56 W · 25 L-0.4wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x448f…fcc3backed Cirstea70c21.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed Cirstea70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4314475%108 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Cirstea72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8358067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9653…80b1backed Cirstea70c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31a…89ccbacked Cirstea70c20.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3773…57f9backed Cirstea70c20.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23f5…e89cbacked Cirstea71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x112e…0d1fbacked Cirstea72c19.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3334965%227 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a0f…8e1dbacked Cirstea70c18.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc04f…bca2backed Cirstea70c17.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18e…706dbacked Cirstea74c13.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.521136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.