TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8c7c…1439

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Stocks, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.46
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.22
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.41
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.25
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$32.45
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.49
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.44
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.3
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.35
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.66
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.29
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$22.04
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.77
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.59
LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26.07
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)backed Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$33.63
Pune: Ilia Simakin vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leongbacked Leong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$37.57
Pune: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.9%+$43.25
Antalya: Julia Riera vs Anastasia Zolotarevabacked Riera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$57.81
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Coleman Wongbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+94.5%+$11.42
Mexican Open: Patrick Kypson vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25.59
Mexican Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Alan Magadanbacked Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.09
Delray Beach Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paulbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22.72
Midland: Elizabeth Coleman vs Kayla Daybacked Coleman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28.45
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Navone (+1.5)backed Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.62
Metepec: Ben Jones vs Rafael De Albabacked Alba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$36.68
Set Handicap: Korda (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5)backed McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.72
Oeiras 2: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+1,594.6%+$243.01
Oeiras 2: Yasmine Mansouri vs Matilde Jorgebacked Mansouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.91
Tigre: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.79
Tigre: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Miguel Damasbacked Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+433.4%+$200.69
Tigre: Pedro Sakamoto vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.76
Qatar Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30.73
Set Handicap: Fucsovics (-1.5) vs Habib (+1.5)backed Habib · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.87
Lille: August Holmgren vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
Metepec: Stefan Kozlov vs Tristan McCormickbacked McCormick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26.94
Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.66
Les Sables d'Olonne: Lisa Pigato vs Diana Martynovbacked Pigato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$23.64
Set 1 Winner: Bencic vs Maneirobacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.61
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Sasnovich (+1.5)backed Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.84
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.79
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)backed magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.91
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$66.67
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$75.73
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+702.9%+$427.96
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$120.15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+315.3%+$298.17
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs FUZOS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group Bbacked FUZOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.24
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.56
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs eLITenergy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked eLITenergy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.52
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.74
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15.88
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+164%+$29.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25.83
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.16
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.07
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$48.23
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39.19
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$191.36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+222.6%+$167.76
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+209.8%+$1,011.75
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100%+$283.32
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12.48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+143.7%+$14.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$105
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.62
Wild vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.92
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$170.38
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$28.76
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$168.23
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.89
Bruins vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$19.66
Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$182.5
Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$192.62
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$28.37
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$194.84
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+215.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.06
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+3,156.5%+$567.04
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.84
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$130.4
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$66.84
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$46.66
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.33
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.53
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+252.2%+$82.88
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.36
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.41
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.19
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.37
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$72.82
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$201.92
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+143.9%+$47.73
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$115.2
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+84.5%+$28.26
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.5%+$23.94
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+33.9%+$22.25
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.39
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick6cpaid+164.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.86
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.57
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.51
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+2,013.5%+$361.69
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.23
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-47.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Central Arkansas Bears (-6.5)backed Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$175.94
Spread: James Madison Dukes (-5.5)backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$158.66
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$162.44
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-11.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$183.48
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-6.5)backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$169.99
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+317.9%+$49.88
Portland Pilots vs. San Diego Torerosbacked Portland Pilots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$26.24
Stanford Cardinal vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-73%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-64.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+132.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+177.8%+$369.43
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+150.3%+$149.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.72
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+194.1%+$34.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$235.09
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$294.65
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.02
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37.1%+$11.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$45.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$38.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.