Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 February 16-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f8c116c1f5e31bdb3cce2461bb68c65332e5e0b98e8c5020289bd1d8cb247e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42fd…96c0backed Yes | 3c | 18,500$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes | 9c | 7,016$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.4 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…6757backed Yes | 3c | 6,300$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 69c | 4,041$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.31 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 30c | 3,875$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…ac35backed Yes | 11c | 3,692$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 16c | 3,283$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.34 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,242$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 42c | 3,045$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.56 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…f8f2backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 36c | 2,145$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.94 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…1ebebacked Yes | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,007$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed No | 69c | 1,591$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.48 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed Yes | 7c | 1,452$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 1,251$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044a…7e1fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,244$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…76dcbacked No | 72c | 1,242$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.11 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…b3dfbacked Yes | 40c | 1,207$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…955bbacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Yes | 2c | 949.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…b8f8backed Yes | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 742.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 68c | 703.71$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.3 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 9c | 567.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 12c | 548.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 18c | 519.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…ab2fbacked Yes | 15c | 500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…2184backed Yes | 10c | 496.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 3c | 442.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 47c | 439.85$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 7c | 407.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…e94abacked Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…9ed0backed No | 65c | 300$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…3ffebacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…264dbacked Yes | 44c | 270$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…08b1backed Yes | 44c | 256$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…992bbacked No | 63c | 230.16$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 57c | 175.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…058dbacked No | 58c | 153.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe772…9084backed No | 56c | 129.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 9c | 126.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 61c | 118$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4439…1438backed No | 52c | 113.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x909a…caecbacked Yes | 43c | 108.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…efd8backed Yes | 49c | 102.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4d…796ebacked Yes | 46c | 102.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Yes | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…176fbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2624…b720backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…57d1backed Yes | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5e…79c7backed Yes | 48c | 85.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 25c | 78.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…7797backed Yes | 48c | 67.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…bca7backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed No | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…cc52backed Yes | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…1332backed Yes | 51c | 39.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…bc9ebacked No | 53c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…eb7fbacked No | 54c | 35.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 70c | 29.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed Yes | 44c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…9984backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bf…2a09backed No | 56c | 18.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 69c | 18.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…cb8ebacked No | 74c | 16.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 February 16-22?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 16-22?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 February 16-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.