TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7e0…ab2f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+177%+$65.49
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.67
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.6
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+65%+$25.98
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.4%+$18.49
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+109.7%+$164.08
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$140.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+52%+$10.4
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+149.1%+$18.79
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$104.89
Will Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+87.5%+$131.27
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Levante UD win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+122.2%+$165
Will Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.34
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.05
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$56.9
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$131.72
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.78
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.47
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$37.97
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.1%+$357.13
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$16.9
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$10.34
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.92
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$11.37
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.91
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Taylor Townsendbacked Joanna Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$14.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.