TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,455,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,004,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,455,088 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 639 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae87…c735backed Yes55c1,809,936$995,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995,098.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-58.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c432,606$203,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229,371.656,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes55c260,786$143,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,432.3316040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No45c165,600$74,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,0802657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+55.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No45c146,000$65,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,3007542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No45c110,000$49,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,500.023946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No45c100,762$45,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,419.0718950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33df…337dbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-68.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No45c92,880$42,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,633.723661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No45c80,984$36,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,541.210455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No45c78,690$35,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,279.53450%17 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No45c78,076$35,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,941.5927750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked No46c70,000$32,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,8003740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No45c67,590$30,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,147.32,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No45c65,668$29,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,117.43369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed No46c65,000$29,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,2505246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No45c54,667$24,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,066.673050%15 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes55c50,000$27,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,5006240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No45c49,715$22,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,343.235658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0865…3d2cbacked Yes0c43,819$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes54c40,000$21,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,60018958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No45c36,400$16,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0201361.5%8 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick31cpaid+82.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No45c35,672$16,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,619.66550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes45c31,212$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,00017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No45c31,000$13,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,0506142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No45c29,127$13,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,019.853148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Yes55c28,980$15,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,827.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No45c28,751$12,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,874.7321253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No45c28,086$12,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,414.9610335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed No46c25,801$11,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,050.835752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No45c25,480$11,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,012.953759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No45c25,000$11,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,75035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed No45c23,072$10,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,689.61533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No43c21,928$9,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,456.0724146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No45c19,175$8,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,546.471735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd414…6a0cbacked No44c17,552$7,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,800.932650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes57c16,148$9,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,251.371,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked No79c15,993$12,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.541163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes56c15,000$8,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,384.434148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes57c14,941$8,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,515.7628242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes53c14,474$7,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,743.3719253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c14,454$8,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,987.454,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No45c14,079$6,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,745.9175850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No45c13,982$6,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,690.112847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No45c13,587$6,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,472.671675%12 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8198…6f6fbacked Yes56c13,565$7,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,596.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No45c12,500$5,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,87513852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No45c12,338$5,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,786.1212448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6990…6185backed No45c11,111$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,111.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No45c11,111$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,111.119350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No45c11,111$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,111.115655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed No45c10,444$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,744.441457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes55c10,000$5,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,449.9914258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No44c9,973$4,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,550.671,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No45c9,257$4,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,091.195455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No46c9,197$4,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,966.563171%22 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+53.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No44c9,000$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,069.915944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No45c8,916$4,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,903.85257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No44c8,900$3,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,98450644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No64c8,428$5,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,041.442,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No45c7,545$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,149.965939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No45c7,500$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,124.942360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+54.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No46c7,268$3,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,924.727544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes37c6,847$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5592218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No45c6,232$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,427.61376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed No45c5,800$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1901637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed No46c5,717$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,087.391546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No44c5,172$2,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.4385048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,75017745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked No52c4,980$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.522378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.8wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+55.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes54c4,630$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5009154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No69c4,625$3,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.5346943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No45c4,600$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5301428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No57c4,458$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.051,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No44c4,389$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.8412454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No46c4,210$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.4212949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No45c4,002$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.215442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes50c3,999$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.51020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes32c3,999$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.7319729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No45c3,998$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20816050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes23c3,997$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.3867042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c3,753$2,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.351,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes54c3,706$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.4125544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No45c3,653$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.334555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No45c3,521$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.451750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No45c3,347$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.1523250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No45c3,333$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.0818259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Yes10c3,016$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.894738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No44c3,000$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.964944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No45c2,920$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.121,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce12…0e76backed No45c2,810$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.62757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes55c2,793$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.1352454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No45c2,556$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.559153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13bf…be7abacked Yes53c2,537$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No45c2,502$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.321952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+41.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No74c2,445$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.1861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No46c2,400$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3082962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+41.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No45c2,382$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.13253.1%17 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.