TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,118 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No72c12,901$9,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,558.526,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes27c9,553$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c6,295$4,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.982,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c4,253$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.134,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes29c3,915$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1502218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No80c3,625$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.5569772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No74c3,547$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.2285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c3,306$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.141,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No74c3,007$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.4451750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes31c2,201$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.0624146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No67c1,668$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.2846943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No74c1,613$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.3872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes32c1,608$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.3916548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes25c1,356$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3396437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd752…a1c5backed Yes25c1,340$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+134.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes24c1,146$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.0628736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes17c1,145$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0696445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c1,114$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.391,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No75c1,100$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.6552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes13c1,094$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4226319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No70c1,090$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.129763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes32c1,028$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3295536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes31c968.42$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes30c945$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.5211549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes28c893.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.212020.8%25 W · 95 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes29c886.63$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.1282763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0fa4…5e77backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4214…62e6backed Yes65c771.97$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked No76c726.65$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.42166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No67c714.05$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6361143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes27c656.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes30c592$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2125052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes29c591.49$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2349753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes27c548.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x807d…76dcbacked Yes25c486$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6231…84bbbacked No76c461.82$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.841250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes29c450$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.268062.5%50 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58ba…1ae8backed Yes19c446$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.741030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-55.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes25c398.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1710626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes25c395.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes31c385$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5267042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes26c353$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7812236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes31c322.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010736.4%39 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7532453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No74c299.98$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.996759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Yes30c266.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No70c255.95$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.176055%33 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c249.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6558446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes22c238.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5945142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes26c234.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9223632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c233$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes17c223.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.116150.9%82 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No75c212.45$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1130050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c207.94$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.662,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes27c203.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5427227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes25c200.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011969.7%83 W · 36 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483650%18 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507146.5%33 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323116.1%5 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503818.4%7 W · 31 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502516%4 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes30c166.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502020%4 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes60c166.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.63345.5%15 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes24c166$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8428242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f98…440fbacked Yes9c165$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-57.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c9…a149backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+173.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes12c150$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54436.4%16 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Yes19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes26c135.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0620246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Yes32c134$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.881631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes16c121.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9841344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01bd…8357backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Yes29c110.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes26c110$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.62955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b2…fb99backed Yes29c109.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.571172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e73…119dbacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes27c101.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2745224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa26c…278dbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201520%3 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50b6…d364backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301625%4 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710535.2%37 W · 68 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No75c98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.57657.9%44 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No76c96.78$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.336554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.