TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5542…01ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Weather, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT4161%25 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.58
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+26%+$62.52
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$36.82
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.92
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$58.8
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$27.5
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.5
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$57.38
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.75
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.4
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$195.52
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.38
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.64
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$62.33
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$32.52
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.63
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.34
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$63.42
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$59.83
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$26.68
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$187.09
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$187.09
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$420.37
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$60.38
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.15
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.23
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$61.71
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$223.45
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$30.28
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.62
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.49
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$146.74
Will Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$176.46
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$63.2
Will Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.41
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$65.61
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.99
Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$114.23
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$61.33
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$54.96
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$238.56
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$174.4
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+25%+$123.75
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$60.59
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$229.13
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick68cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$17.16
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$13.58
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$5.88
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$9.03
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$12.87
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$33.12
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$34.99
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$21.05
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.91
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$17.11
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$63.8
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$6.61
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$26.96
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$63.83
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$60.59
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$58.99
Senators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$56.78
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Blackhawks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$57.24
Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$65.8
Golden Knights vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$81.95
Devils vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+122.2%+$99
Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$71.43
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.31
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$93.12
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$97.95
Will Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$53.56
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$59.47
Will Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$68.2
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Will Atlanta United FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+37%+$63.72
Will Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$53.24
Will Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$64.5
Will San Diego FC vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$26.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick75cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$136.53
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.41
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$58.98
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$54.3
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$170.13
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.64
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$27.33
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$52.53
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.07
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$26.68
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$73.45
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-1.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$100.36
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$96.93
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$5.66
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-5.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$372.54
Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.71
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$59.21
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$27.03
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick68cpaid-61.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.55
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$55.2
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+143.9%+$80.69
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$90.95
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$58.28
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$219.23
All 6 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$101.2
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.62
BNP Paribas Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+32.6%+$55.01
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.72
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$72.41
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+27.9%+$39.04
All 3 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.93
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$57.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.