TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,728 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No79c23,458$18,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,027.472,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Yes25c8,760$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No77c7,337$5,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.513881.6%31 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9504434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes25c4,364$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0911915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed No77c3,909$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.171866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c3,630$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.021,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes25c3,600$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x980d…7763backed Yes16c3,267$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.912119%4 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4d9…6964backed Yes24c2,975$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7141216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No76c2,632$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.681392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick74cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No76c2,399$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.7630143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes23c2,388$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.862,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d3…22d1backed Yes10c1,776$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.62466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+101.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c1,741$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.66,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No76c1,710$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.41,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed No76c1,490$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.531485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes17c1,440$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24611324.8%28 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.842875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f45…180bbacked Yes16c1,218$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes17c1,146$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c1,088$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.971,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No76c999.98$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed No76c789.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.472045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Yes20c757.04$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.262277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+29.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No77c730.94$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.121968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8a…085bbacked Yes24c623.59$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a8…5c27backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd843…03e2backed Yes25c554.68$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…cb66backed Yes24c546.32$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes23c526.89$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0352454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes24c520.83$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-87.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12096443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc494…36c9backed Yes24c487.32$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7174…9874backed No76c479.54$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.09966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes11c450$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505928.8%17 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26a5…4c43backed Yes24c415.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c384$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5438233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x429e…890abacked Yes24c375.29$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No80c373.93$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8353344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes23c333$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5915233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes25c270$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.512139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes25c268.08$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0212236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked No77c266.65$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.332166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes23c265.34$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3616050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc594…7738backed Yes25c263.6$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.92425%6 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes25c260$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes15c258.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.647227.8%20 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No76c244.14$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.595164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No76c239.89$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.574369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb381…45d1backed No77c236.69$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes24c228.56$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4310951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…0b78backed No77c225.02$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a6…378cbacked No77c206.73$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d5b…9f8cbacked Yes17c205.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d82…72febacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20224.5%1 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick16cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes23c199.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463426.5%9 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5b…2f8bbacked No77c197.29$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.38540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x970d…6854backed No77c191.61$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.074100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes17c189.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.252,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes15c189.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes24c179$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.965442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6e5…e61ebacked No77c177.09$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes24c176.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3875850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes16c167.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3110540%42 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305139.2%20 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Yes24c166$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.842962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3995…dd52backed No77c161.88$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54c4…f835backed No77c157.42$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed1f…225fbacked Yes19c148.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.161250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5e…f840backed No77c143.01$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes24c142.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1251750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a28…c488backed No77c141.49$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+61.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…39b8backed No77c140.2$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.25366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f26…33d1backed No77c139.1$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No76c138.88$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3310850%54 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511630.2%35 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fa…68acbacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes23c123.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5222746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x624c…25f3backed No77c123.41$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44a…8da6backed Yes21c121.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…763cbacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206860.3%41 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1f…6823backed Yes23c114.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.579262%57 W · 35 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Yes25c109.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.316344.4%28 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd452…5eefbacked No77c108.87$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+69.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202020%4 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74ef…1667backed Yes25c105$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.25650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+128.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.