TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed1f…225f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$17.6
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28.16
Will Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34.9
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.4
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+284.6%+$74
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$38.56
Will Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.5
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$30.7
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+41.1%+$80.74
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$140
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.02
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$20.2
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$25.95
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.68
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+112%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.