TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,805 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes40c25,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,999.995345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes60c24,499$14,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,704.356,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c22,624$8,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,643.494,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes76c16,016$12,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,781.1638649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c14,247$9,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,582.91,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No44c7,398$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,264.452,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No72c6,729$4,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8453256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c6,516$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,691.682,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No60c5,876$3,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.871,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed No72c5,292$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked No49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4502277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No72c4,722$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.842138.1%8 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-21%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No72c4,718$3,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.855939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Yes29c3,155$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.171435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed No43c3,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No26c2,826$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.442,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe427…c02bbacked Yes29c2,679$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.311040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes28c2,032$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.1720040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes74c1,981$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.26229%18 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45fb…aad0backed Yes57c1,846$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.95742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No72c1,775$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2786043.3%26 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No72c1,733$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.11464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88ae…9c62backed Yes29c1,721$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.69633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes51c1,553$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.361,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes71c1,522$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.161,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes29c1,500$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0659347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No54c1,441$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.2227552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a5…f586backed Yes46c1,325$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.951942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes28c1,200$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.9910838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c896.18$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.2952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes74c742.82$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.4618748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.664734%16 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes29c648.97$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.774431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3609150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad4…e8e8backed Yes71c489.15$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed No21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504835.4%17 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61aa…ff6fbacked Yes79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes28c399.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9910626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Yes64c387.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.77683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No72c350$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.832128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes29c342.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.851827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Yes29c296.55$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5511636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes68c295.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5912239.3%48 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.12850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eca…969abacked Yes37c276.69$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked No16c270$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.623325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Yes28c263.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.63633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes63c262.12$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No53c227.11$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.372638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c220$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.269851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes48c209.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.657349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No45c207.56$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0345142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes29c206.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.911343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c206.09$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes52c202.73$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7372142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b1…3678backed Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+94.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No46c197.05$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9657150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Yes28c196.43$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4315553.5%83 W · 72 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No54c185.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.995044%22 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3831…d788backed Yes28c185.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+156.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825151%26 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes29c180.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.527141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.414254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b2…7575backed Yes69c156.61$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes40c155$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9313760.6%83 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes31c150.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.314158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x740d…9967backed No67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked No52c148.47$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.555160.8%31 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed No35c145.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.47663.2%48 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c65…6b11backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes55c128.28$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.282857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No71c125.56$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1525544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No53c125.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6123556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes71c119.81$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9415249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…64dbbacked Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.45540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…3be4backed Yes29c101.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.123259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+50.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7119235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9445backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6859645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7245224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7125532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes28c99.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9914754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No71c99.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.994753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df1…e624backed Yes29c96.55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.555942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes79c95.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.07666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No44c95.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6241956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No71c94.61$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1751847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Yes40c91.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.742867.9%19 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+50.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c90.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.141,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No19c87.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6126319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes61c86.85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.761,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb391…49e7backed Yes29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf0…1139backed Yes69c85.51$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed No27c85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.953215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Yes40c84$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.43056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.