TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c65…6b11

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
264
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: La Liga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 59 out of 100; worst World Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT5962.7%37 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$36.03
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Zhang Mingyang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Luis Felipe Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ding Meng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Adrian Luna Martinetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jafel Filho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.34
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Talita Alencar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.83
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.38
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.53
UFC Fight Night: Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+79%+$47.41
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Marwan Rahiki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Oumar Sy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$39.24
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Elijah Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$16.76
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.82
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rob Font · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
UFC 326: Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Sumudaerji · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.7%+$10.35
UFC 326: Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT3964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.73
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.89
Cruzeiro EC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$24.43
Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$32.63
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$31.63
Club Bolívar vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.5
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$44.58
Will CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.44
Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.52
Mirassol FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
EC Vitória vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
CD Riestra vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.52
CA Belgrano vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.89
Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$60.05
CA Platense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$40.64
Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
Will CS Cristal vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.6
CS Cristal vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$35.04
Cusco FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.82
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.77
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$195.29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$88.21
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+110.1%+$33.03
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+75.4%+$60.35
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+53.4%+$10.68
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 38% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will José Antonio Kast win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Jeannette Jara and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12.72
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+50.4%+$11.78
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$174.25
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+221.6%+$44.32
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+131.9%+$26.38
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Thank you" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.34
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump’s approval rating be <42.5% on October 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.29
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$20.55
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.77
Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Vitória SC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.44
Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
FC Alverca vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.77
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$21.71
Will FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$104.55
FC Famalicão vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will CD Tondela vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$39.26
Will CD Santa Clara vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.01
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Israel strike on Yemen by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+57.8%+$11.56
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+435.5%+$70.83
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+63.7%+$12.74
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.95
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.99
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Kawasaki Frontale vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.96
Fagiano Okayama vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.63
Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.32
Avispa Fukuoka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$26.25
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-53%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Utah vs. Stars: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.88
Blues vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$34.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$246.9
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+136.9%+$34.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.63
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+296%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+296%+$657.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 September 29-October 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$213.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anderson Silva win his boxing match against Tyron Woodley?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.