South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55ee69185abaed90abf0734322736e3ab7d1cbb3a41545de6a60d97a45826887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 4,592$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.66 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 72c | 1,371$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.01 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 8c | 1,354$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 46c | 1,266$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.87 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…1bebbacked Over | 55c | 1,227$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 1,066$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.62 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 1,061$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.07 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 1,021$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 59c | 881.08$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.84 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 720.94$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 504.59$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.85 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 71c | 415.18$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.78 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 272.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.14 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 41c | 231.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Under | 48c | 202.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.51 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 42c | 178.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 162.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Over | 33c | 127.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 52c | 123.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 49c | 110.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 39c | 108.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 47c | 103.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 74c | 96.13$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7549…9745backed Under | 37c | 95.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4178backed Over | 18c | 90.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 74c | 84.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 74c | 84.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 66c | 84.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 41c | 77.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 41c | 77.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 41c | 77.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 71c | 76.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…fe57backed Under | 44c | 72.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 43c | 69.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 41c | 65.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 41c | 65.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 69c | 64.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e2…8fb6backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 66c | 59.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 71c | 58.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 19c | 56.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 41c | 54.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Over | 65c | 54.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 41c | 52.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Over | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 63c | 51.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 68c | 45.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a57ebacked Over | 34c | 43.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed Under | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Under | 50c | 38.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 58c | 37.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…9332backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…50bdbacked Under | 31c | 35.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Over | 69c | 29.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 53c | 27.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Over | 59c | 25.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 75c | 25.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 50c | 24.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Over | 43c | 24.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1694backed Over | 49c | 23.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 19.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 74c | 18.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 74c | 18.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 74c | 18.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…e55ebacked Over | 59c | 18.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Over | 58c | 17.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5this page
- Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.