TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0115…ac79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
501
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Champions League, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 63 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT9563.2%60 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$25.71
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+252.2%+$494.77
Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.94
Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.68
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$48.07
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.45
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$58.7
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.53
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$34.41
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$27.37
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$11.98
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Erling Haaland: 5+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.09
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$24.16
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT8154.3%44 W · 37 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-16%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Set 2 Winner: Svajda vs Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.46
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs Noskovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$13.89
Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovicbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.32
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Roman Safiullin vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Under 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.87
Set 1 Winner: Safiullin vs Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.29
Set Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Ostapenkobacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.47
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Under 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.42
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.11
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.03
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Jodar (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$30.31
Rafael Jodar vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Under 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.67
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66%+$52.15
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$28.07
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+119.9%+$214.62
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$27.05
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.34
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$30.36
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.49
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+72%+$25.16
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+117%+$274.31
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$256.25
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.43
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.31
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$19.58
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.7
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.64
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+143.6%+$15.06
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT5056%28 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$57.27
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$23.39
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 202.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.3
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.36
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15.43
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$20.36
Will New York Knicks advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$13.19
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.49
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.34
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$12.02
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$13.18
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$26.05
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$65.5
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.45
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$95.11
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40%+$33.56
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.96
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT4751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.61
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)backed Santos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$47.89
CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.84
Santos FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.52
Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)backed Santos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$37.1
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$39.25
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$35.39
Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.33
EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$13.97
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$18.33
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.48
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.81
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)backed CR Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.35
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)backed SE Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
EC Bahia vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.2
Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)backed Santos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.11
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT4555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it rain during the Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$9.72
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$57.44
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$10.57
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$87.67
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.05
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$62.42
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$59.9
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.96
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+251.3%+$71.52
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.26
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$10.64
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.38
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$56.85
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hamilton?backed Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.99
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2584%21 W · 4 L+5.9wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$38.54
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$44.55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.49
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.79
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$26.43
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$32.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.49
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.15
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.18
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.61
Will Tottenham Hotspur reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.04
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$25.53
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.96
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$17.88
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.64
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$41.18
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+151.7%+$64.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$40.55
All 25 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.95
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.42
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$8.53
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$61.04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$36.98
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$55.4
Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.29
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.76
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$43.05
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$22.24
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$42.4
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$25.46
Will Jonas Sulzbach be the next person eliminated from Big Brother Brasil 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$23.98
All 19 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$17.91
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$54.97
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$11.23
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$48.14
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of April 6 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.31
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.47
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$43.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.61
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$67.29
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$40.01
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$97.97
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$20.88
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$96.63
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.93
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.11
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$4.21
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)backed Middlesbrough FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.41
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.12
Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.35
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$72.9
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$17.77
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$54.93
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$30.23
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$126.98
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$10.62
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.84
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$43.93
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$25.81
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.18
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+32%+$12.62
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$111.51
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30%+$16.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.37
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$23.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+157.8%+$576.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+126.9%+$120.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.