TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb8fb…28da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 56 out of 100; worst Mls at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT7647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.6
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.56
Belgium leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$42.4
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.35
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.77
Senegal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.83
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Morocco leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.78
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48.98
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$64.99
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.38
Algeria leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.93
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$93.85
France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$69.76
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$88.81
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$38.94
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$44.61
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$34.31
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$40.62
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.41
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.71
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.91
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$190.91
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.98
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$60.65
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$199.82
FC Tōkyō vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.1
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+36%+$69.77
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$155.56
CF Pachuca vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.16
Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.88
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$117.83
FC Juárez vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Club Puebla vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.79
Will CF América win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.5
Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$194
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$123
São Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$231
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
All 16 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$73.37
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+107%+$106.98
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$198.75
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Melbourne City FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.73
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$91.54
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$117.61
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Auckland FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$131.21
Auckland FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$119.16
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+245.2%+$122.59
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.31
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+43.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$77.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.