TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c23,630$7,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,926.824,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under36c9,760$3,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,502.2883444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under39c7,794$3,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,011.025339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x417e…85e4backed Under2c5,800$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under32c5,190$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.411,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.996468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under19c4,059$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.23,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3720…a4c9backed Under0c3,947$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under3c3,922$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.663641.7%15 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick18cpaid+156.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over72c2,733$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.391457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under17c2,580$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.092,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Over35c2,444$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over79c2,240$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.164358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under31c2,198$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.591,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over46c2,162$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7909…e8febacked Over41c2,021$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…b81dbacked Over79c1,762$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.992864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Over64c1,682$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.485671.4%40 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcc0…f02abacked Over79c1,621$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.51450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over64c1,533$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.1517731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over68c1,506$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.473562.9%22 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under17c1,385$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4515446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under33c1,365$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.4820360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15533.8%2 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over44c1,103$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.852828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c999.99$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Under10c899.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+144.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcab3…5e13backed Under2c801.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0260%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over67c735.27$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.272060%12 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6891…949fbacked Under46c725.52$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.731145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df7…780dbacked Over79c628.48$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.891478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over37c562.49$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.6310418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Under55c530.73$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under43c471.67$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8211457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over73c422.64$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.342454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Over76c407.65$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.414254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed Under10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+94.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under10c399.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under28c390.86$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8922758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over46c378.55$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.554047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d25…5529backed Under33c357.21$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.222626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2694…827abacked Under24c318.33$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under30c318.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8417856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over79c311.55$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1374457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over75c303.62$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9517466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc7…b45abacked Over70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Over44c289.92$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.362330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over74c277.27$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9211266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Over71c276.77$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.255759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Over79c274.12$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.57757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2216456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3c…37e4backed Over55c215.96$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.21683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over63c211.9$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.46061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.594238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Under33c208.58$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.052755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Over80c200.5$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f89…e85bbacked Over41c199.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1186100%6 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+170.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under27c196.03$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9220252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5d…adc4backed Under16c193.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.651435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under35c192.38$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.711,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over67c181.86$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.653545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…6f50backed Under46c180.9$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+51.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.613253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.441250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71a1…5826backed Over63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+217.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.041866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under65c151.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.342245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under16c138.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0975451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over74c133.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.593076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over73c132.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.915448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over43c130.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.668958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under29c121.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8822455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under29c121.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8823456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under29c121.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.887954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…d1b0backed Under32c120.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Under13c116.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e2…4a97backed Over42c114.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.64955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa1…0193backed Under13c113.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under33c107.53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.991,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over67c99.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over69c98.14$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4262744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over69c98.14$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4218656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under22c93.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.464548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over62c85.79$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.615344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad5a…e224backed Over72c81.61$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ecc…36ddbacked Over65c81.59$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under33c80.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9889050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over61c80.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.223951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.442158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe91…483abacked Over37c78.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under16c72.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.651844.4%8 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick21cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.