La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x491ef0b34fcb007e776d10f59f0da341cbbd47962e09320cfef7332259ff1b73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 37c | 6,937$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.33 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 3,307$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.07 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 2,508$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.74 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 2,131$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.47 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Under | 60c | 854$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.6 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over | 41c | 635.22$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 34c | 619.31$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.76 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 59c | 587.06$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.69 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 17c | 476.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 64c | 458.63$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Under | 66c | 445.27$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.39 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 23c | 402.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 70c | 370.25$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 63c | 319.67$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 12c | 319.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 59c | 297.57$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 37c | 283.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 60c | 273.91$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Over | 18c | 255.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 33c | 235.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 41c | 235.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 13c | 226.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 63c | 219.03$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 64c | 214.03$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 14c | 203.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 36c | 200.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 75c | 196.92$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 6c | 190.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 40c | 121.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 69c | 119.93$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 19c | 100.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d73…f538backed Over | 19c | 100.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 31c | 92.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 91.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 62c | 90.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 32c | 89.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…4d47backed Under | 76c | 83.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 63c | 68.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Under | 63c | 66.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Over | 17c | 63.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 63c | 63.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 25c | 62.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 69c | 56.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…edb0backed Under | 70c | 56.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Over | 31c | 49.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Under | 61c | 44.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Under | 63c | 39.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…81c5backed Over | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 63c | 38.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 41c | 37.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 61c | 35.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e9…859abacked Under | 75c | 35.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 33.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…43e6backed Under | 70c | 31.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aed…6e05backed Over | 40c | 30.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbf…ec49backed Over | 36c | 28.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 63c | 22.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 70c | 20.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 70c | 16.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 71c | 14.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.