TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
RCD Mallorcaof Real Madrid CF, RCD Mallorca
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked RCD Mallorca62c13,203$8,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,960.68756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Real Madrid CF38c6,835$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,582.139244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Real Madrid CF37c5,710$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.5914250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed RCD Mallorca63c4,834$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.437349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Real Madrid CF38c3,978$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.612236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Real Madrid CF24c2,756$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.723,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed RCD Mallorca62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.997561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked RCD Mallorca62c1,713$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.052,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed RCD Mallorca64c1,468$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.744,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Real Madrid CF38c1,267$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed RCD Mallorca63c1,200$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.9865356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Real Madrid CF34c1,065$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.348531.8%27 W · 58 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…ee5abacked Real Madrid CF39c996.38$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.6930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Real Madrid CF37c908$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.47241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Real Madrid CF38c886.79$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.982334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed RCD Mallorca62c882.9$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.425152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Real Madrid CF38c506.74$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5628543.2%123 W · 162 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Real Madrid CF35c505.83$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0311430.7%35 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Real Madrid CF15c501$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3310335%36 W · 67 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed RCD Mallorca62c499.98$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.997750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Real Madrid CF37c499.98$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.998245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Real Madrid CF39c494.05$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.687850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed RCD Mallorca63c388.88$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3322455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed RCD Mallorca64c373.89$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3120360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed RCD Mallorca63c373.17$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.317954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked RCD Mallorca63c366.16$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2223456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Madrid CF28c361.76$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.151,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Real Madrid CF39c314.19$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.53837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Real Madrid CF37c299.06$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6522729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda59…d01cbacked Real Madrid CF38c284.74$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.921618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Real Madrid CF38c279.21$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.13658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Real Madrid CF8c278.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.463354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Real Madrid CF36c277.31$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.634362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Real Madrid CF38c260.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.17933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Real Madrid CF38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.281050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Real Madrid CF38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.283938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Real Madrid CF38c250.83$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3244840.4%181 W · 267 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed RCD Mallorca61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed RCD Mallorca62c237.46$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.685959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x945c…a489backed Real Madrid CF38c228.79$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed RCD Mallorca64c219.96$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.191,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed RCD Mallorca64c206.38$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.34949%24 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Real Madrid CF37c199.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.993834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Real Madrid CF38c197.63$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.11947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc219…0687backed Real Madrid CF39c197.62$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.076752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Real Madrid CF14c187.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0620451.5%105 W · 99 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x853d…81f9backed Real Madrid CF38c179.45$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked RCD Mallorca62c171.15$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.466982.6%57 W · 12 L+15.0wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+37%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0756…38c9backed Real Madrid CF37c151.87$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.191163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Real Madrid CF29c151.05$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.811,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed RCD Mallorca62c146.9$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.492268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed RCD Mallorca64c138.73$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.944254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a7…ac65backed Real Madrid CF21c138.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Real Madrid CF38c126.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.149034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6839…e26bbacked Real Madrid CF39c123.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed RCD Mallorca62c123.25$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.841872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Real Madrid CF39c118.81$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.24850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked RCD Mallorca60c118.05$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2289050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed Real Madrid CF37c117.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.31323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed RCD Mallorca79c107.56$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5949057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Real Madrid CF38c101.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.512133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Real Madrid CF20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed RCD Mallorca63c97.85$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2311266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7243…8409backed Real Madrid CF39c96.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Real Madrid CF37c96.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.63423.5%8 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed1f…225fbacked Real Madrid CF37c96.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed RCD Mallorca61c88.22$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.996160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Real Madrid CF37c86.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.072245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Real Madrid CF39c86.46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.721330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Real Madrid CF38c83.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Real Madrid CF35c81.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.844639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked RCD Mallorca71c80.56$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.965671.4%40 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Real Madrid CF37c78.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.872850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c0…9740backed Real Madrid CF37c78.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.87520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked RCD Mallorca61c76.92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3050149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed RCD Mallorca63c75.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4711853.4%63 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9269…5eb8backed Real Madrid CF39c74.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.91040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x078f…aa10backed Real Madrid CF39c74.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.99145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf646…00c1backed Real Madrid CF39c74.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked RCD Mallorca63c70.14$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.976373%46 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Real Madrid CF37c66.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.545825.9%15 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed RCD Mallorca62c65.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4510947.7%52 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Real Madrid CF38c63.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.073342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed RCD Mallorca66c61.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Real Madrid CF38c50.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3214850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Real Madrid CF38c50.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.266142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed Real Madrid CF39c49.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-81.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3788…2350backed Real Madrid CF32c47.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Real Madrid CF35c47.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6841323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7f…657ebacked RCD Mallorca72c45.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb481…4db8backed Real Madrid CF39c43.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed RCD Mallorca62c39.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e9d…1e4bbacked Real Madrid CF37c39.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Real Madrid CF37c38.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4426242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed RCD Mallorca62c38.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4819358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64c3…75abbacked Real Madrid CF38c38.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe947…6427backed Real Madrid CF36c35.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed RCD Mallorca63c34.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.733873.7%28 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+31.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Real Madrid CF37c33.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.464126.8%11 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Real Madrid CF39c32.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.526336.5%23 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.