TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x924d…3429

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT9054.4%49 W · 41 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omskbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.91
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omskbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$46.52
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$35.46
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$193
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$31.04
Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$49.15
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.66
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.14
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.77
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+179%+$171.27
Will Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+152.5%+$106.19
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$111.64
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.14
Will Erling Haaland score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+137.1%+$231.68
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88%+$107.56
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.95
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.21
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$208.51
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.83
Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$41.06
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+376.2%+$45.14
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-81.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.55
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick41cpaid-80.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.79
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Fluminense vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$107.97
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$77.15
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.01
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.64
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$36.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry Bivolbacked Bivol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$18.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.