TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$476,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$540,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $476,988 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 488 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0792…b778backed Over50c144,354$72,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,662.47825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under50c39,906$19,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,152.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Under49c37,467$18,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,108.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over49c36,069$17,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,673.93633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c21,348$13,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,269.821,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c12,926$6,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,333.7263346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over50c10,817$5,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,408.652330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x05f6…8cecbacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.98580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Under50c9,933$4,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,966.291323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under50c9,765$4,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,882.52240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over51c9,516$4,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,853837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c7,633$3,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,816.565552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under50c7,583$3,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,791.444247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1788…0994backed Under51c6,920$3,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,390.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under50c6,906$3,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,453.1221938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over19c6,500$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.98128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick37cpaid-86.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under50c5,910$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9552965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under50c5,874$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.874658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under50c5,820$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9101540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over12c5,644$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.422128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.983268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under50c4,899$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.875957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under60c4,755$2,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.085263.5%33 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c4,493$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.9710648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under49c4,334$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.181346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c3,978$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.0715252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over51c3,901$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Over50c3,857$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.352030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under51c3,751$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.994100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Over52c3,739$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over52c3,735$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.41040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under49c3,333$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.835749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under57c3,167$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.028853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c3,024$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.3710852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5003956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Under55c2,976$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.31757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f12…95c3backed Under50c2,882$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under50c2,703$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.513762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Under50c2,564$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over51c2,525$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.991450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Over50c2,222$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1112927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over40c2,114$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.566728.4%19 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Under51c2,076$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.311353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c2,055$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.2146048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Under49c2,000$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.6411743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over51c1,981$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.22128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Under50c1,940$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167d…cf09backed Over50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Over50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Over51c1,903$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over51c1,896$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.73911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick48cpaid-79%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under50c1,847$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.393966.7%26 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa32…f6b4backed Over50c1,805$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under53c1,570$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.161266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under50c1,390$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.355362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Over51c1,332$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.421931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under50c1,217$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.866352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under48c1,189$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.5229138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under50c1,182$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5912969%20 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x069c…d519backed Under48c1,160$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over49c1,150$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.54334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under50c1,119$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.61580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Over50c1,106$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…5e5dbacked Over50c1,050$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under67c1,005$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.138259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under74c1,002$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.631586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+27.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec4c…f5bdbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under50c985$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.55257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under74c984.3$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.226844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ddc…6796backed Under51c974.67$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+171.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over52c971.2$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.025152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under51c970.6$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.591258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62b6…5de0backed Under50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4854100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Over51c969.63$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.511747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under50c905.46$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.047058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6084…e875backed Under50c900.59$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under50c886.5$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.255366%35 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Under49c882.83$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.253464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c880.35$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.921,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85e…e8c4backed Under78c794.45$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-57.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over49c775.52$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under50c770.62$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.547652.6%40 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over51c764.96$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.131723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick46cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over25c728.84$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.225036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over34c727.5$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.885123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c716.28$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.8733844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under50c713.94$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.973658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over51c699.98$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.995856.9%33 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under50c679$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.51070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under60c665.16$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.644850%24 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over47c654.2$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.5810051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under50c631.15$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.584866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under51c613.31$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.526547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under50c591$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.53770.3%26 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Over50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29110543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…9c3cbacked Over17c558.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.