TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8907…a996

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+3,125.8%+$484.5
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.18
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.41
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.1
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.52
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.04
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$191
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.42
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$332.98
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.12
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.64
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,446Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,446.45
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,807Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,806.92
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,067.41
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$409.96
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,439.02
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$923.08
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$470.59
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.24
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,022.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$545.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$774
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.25
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$408.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+257.1%+$75.42
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$105
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$576
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+53.8%+$280
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$193
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$404.5
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.36
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$920
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.6
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,943.52
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$825.76
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+470.4%+$3,876
Yellow FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,234
Yellow FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$804Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$803.8
Yellow FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$616
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$98.38
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,649.97
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,649.99
Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$365.35
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,613Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$3,613
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+300%+$600
All 19 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$244.72
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.94
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.35
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.51
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$165.29
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$65.2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$182.35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.83
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.78
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.7
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+97.3%+$192.72
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$302.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$106
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+84.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$112.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$228
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$168
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.8
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$440
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,869Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$1,231
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$756
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,968Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+55%+$2,731.7
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+1,328.6%+$1,307.58
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$982
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.02
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs eLITenergy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.99
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,647Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$2,311.37
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.22
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+39%+$171.62
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,933.72
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.29
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,786.44
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$778.09
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.01
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs STATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,432Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$2,365.47
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$280
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-42%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.17
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.41
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$48.2
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$998.13
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$183.99
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$428.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,946Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$1,598.38
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.84
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$233.5
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$247.5
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,640
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,921.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$30.75
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$119.67
Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$891Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$891.21
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderibacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+203.2%+$643.66
Landaluce vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,981Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,980.74
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$82
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,612Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,612.38
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,466Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+91%+$1,334
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-25.5)backed Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,527.7
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,843.2
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$726.98
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,986Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,985.54
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$470.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$736.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.