Tweets · resolved market
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x217ea4a6dcac9be1e994844ad3a4bae0db1221d62bdc0f7e96bdbd370cc0c358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,134 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde24…25a8backed No | 45c | 7,849$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,345.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…e990backed Yes | 68c | 6,359$4,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,311.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 40c | 3,439$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.54 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5830…f928backed Yes | 19c | 1,642$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.15 | 166 | 11.4%19 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84c0backed Yes | 59c | 1,306$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.22 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 16c | 1,300$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6177…c22abacked Yes | 37c | 1,153$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…7574backed Yes | 37c | 963.28$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Yes | 62c | 889.46$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.63 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…b6f1backed Yes | 6c | 830.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed Yes | 34c | 813.26$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Yes | 67c | 768.8$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 27c | 743.74$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.93 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 73c | 729.29$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.11 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 28c | 702.77$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed No | 63c | 666.92$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347e…4d06backed Yes | 41c | 632.05$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.78 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 63c | 623.48$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.92 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…0da3backed No | 63c | 593$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa131…22e8backed Yes | 7c | 591.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 34c | 585.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 32c | 570.82$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.65 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Yes | 32c | 561.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 119 | 6.7%8 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed No | 63c | 560$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 20c | 500$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…34c3backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…ea85backed Yes | 33c | 473.81$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832a…2b3ebacked Yes | 58c | 454.15$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 74c | 450.68$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 66c | 448.7$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.44 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed Yes | 15c | 444.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 63c | 405.41$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb23d…e7e3backed Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d77…523dbacked Yes | 35c | 399.33$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…7f6cbacked Yes | 36c | 381$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…881cbacked Yes | 47c | 375.79$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.16 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…11aabacked Yes | 14c | 350.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…78e4backed Yes | 39c | 334$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…4c34backed Yes | 31c | 326.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…5afbbacked Yes | 66c | 325.14$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…cfa9backed Yes | 39c | 320$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked Yes | 43c | 312.86$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 35c | 307.03$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 35c | 301.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474d…12edbacked Yes | 73c | 289.83$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5893…39d6backed Yes | 39c | 287$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…34fabacked Yes | 39c | 285$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…7326backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 262.27$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…90e7backed Yes | 43c | 256.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…60c2backed Yes | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…3347backed Yes | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8505…a7f9backed Yes | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…5764backed Yes | 41c | 254.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…d784backed Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 62c | 247.86$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 34c | 247.3$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.04 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 9c | 230.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes | 22c | 228.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…d354backed Yes | 30c | 227.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 34c | 214.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc015…4993backed No | 61c | 207$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…ffe4backed Yes | 39c | 205$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9faa…295cbacked No | 64c | 205$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e74…10fbbacked No | 61c | 203$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ce…2ac2backed No | 61c | 202$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 30c | 201.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…d722backed Yes | 38c | 200.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 196.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa325…90f5backed Yes | 42c | 196.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfeb…37abbacked No | 61c | 192$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 72c | 189.94$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8043…91c8backed Yes | 49c | 189.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…b20bbacked No | 61c | 183$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed Yes | 38c | 178.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be7…ac66backed No | 64c | 176$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9e…9500backed Yes | 71c | 175$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ee…d204backed Yes | 39c | 173$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…9476backed Yes | 37c | 164.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…8828backed No | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a63…3be5backed No | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd89…734cbacked No | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…06dfbacked No | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…16f0backed No | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…0f30backed No | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aef…dc5abacked No | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…45bebacked No | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x301c…15c8backed No | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…aad4backed No | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…e8d5backed Yes | 35c | 159.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa8…9e75backed Yes | 64c | 156.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed Yes | 71c | 150$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…56eabacked Yes | 30c | 148$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…882dbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked Yes | 14c | 137.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…5414backed Yes | 16c | 134.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?this page
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.