TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf112…d9e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7536%27 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.38
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.1
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.49
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.69
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$327.02
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.74
76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.72
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.35
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,175.92
Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.15
Spread: Cavaliers (-19.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.76
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$416.77
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$221.88
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.5
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$114.41
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$97.71
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$34.26
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT4339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$357
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$85.87
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$611.09
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,845.76
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,775Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+27.5%+$488.16
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$64
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+291.3%+$9,200.25
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+105.5%+$732.84
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$213.58
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$411.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.76
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$241.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.43
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.88
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+129.5%+$486.68
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$306.45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,326Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$402.67
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-77.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$113.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.5
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+86.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$256
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$295.2
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$998.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.