NBA · resolved market
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x281565cae359040475640be8bc20f4efe15245fe0251805fd338fb1a3e45ffae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,481,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,125,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,481,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,601 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 2c | 87,491$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.32 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…799bbacked No | 8c | 84,910$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Yes | 63c | 63,762$40,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,368.47 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 75c | 55,197$41,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,789.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…3f2cbacked No | 2c | 51,899$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +392.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…fec2backed Yes | 64c | 49,979$31,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,992.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 2c | 45,338$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…950abacked No | 7c | 45,221$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…fc18backed No | 2c | 43,966$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 4c | 43,202$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.02 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 9c | 38,261$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.69 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2030…e89cbacked No | 0c | 38,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 50c | 32,340$16,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,159.28 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed No | 25c | 31,459$7,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,838.96 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dee…a71cbacked No | 36c | 26,079$9,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,388.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…159cbacked No | 36c | 23,900$8,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,604 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 47c | 23,768$11,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,273.13 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed No | 25c | 22,858$5,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,653.85 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 24c | 22,500$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 2c | 21,985$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.4 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 72c | 21,900$15,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,204.35 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 14c | 20,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…af7dbacked Yes | 47c | 19,800$9,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,542.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +156%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 69c | 19,102$13,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,967.93 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…27dabacked Yes | 30c | 14,700$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,290 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 80c | 14,046$11,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.24 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 25c | 13,928$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.3 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked No | 6c | 13,740$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.73 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +159.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 28c | 13,613$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,833.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b24…c4bebacked Yes | 77c | 13,248$10,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…cf09backed Yes | 66c | 13,239$8,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,485.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 77c | 13,054$10,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.85 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…66ebbacked Yes | 79c | 12,700$10,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…8419backed No | 21c | 12,700$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…8fbcbacked No | 1c | 12,308$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…926dbacked No | 21c | 12,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 65c | 11,875$7,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.57 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 77c | 11,645$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.09 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…414fbacked Yes | 55c | 10,904$5,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,906.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 30c | 10,458$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.37 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x774c…7282backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed No | 2c | 10,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked No | 11c | 9,030$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 14c | 8,783$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.88 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed No | 42c | 8,770$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.99 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 17c | 8,648$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.09 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Yes | 45c | 8,477$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…8ec9backed No | 0c | 8,101$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 25c | 8,066$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.13 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed No | 1c | 7,756$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099b…b8a3backed Yes | 75c | 7,418$5,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Yes | 46c | 7,171$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.91 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed No | 4c | 6,913$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.6 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…1d5fbacked Yes | 80c | 6,508$5,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a2…9dcfbacked No | 5c | 6,329$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…4d84backed No | 2c | 6,218$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…4a0ebacked Yes | 71c | 6,197$4,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.46 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…314cbacked Yes | 66c | 6,000$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 61c | 5,921$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…9081backed No | 69c | 5,800$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad30…6e8bbacked Yes | 31c | 5,800$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,002 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked No | 2c | 5,611$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Yes | 64c | 5,499$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.79 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…d454backed Yes | 64c | 5,450$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 71c | 5,371$3,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.75 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d8…6b46backed Yes | 73c | 5,366$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…035cbacked No | 24c | 5,324$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddc…a8cfbacked Yes | 70c | 5,038$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0e…cefabacked Yes | 75c | 5,011$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee73…b26cbacked Yes | 75c | 5,000$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…2c4dbacked No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed No | 31c | 5,000$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.04 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddb…0809backed Yes | 58c | 4,889$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…a21ebacked Yes | 58c | 4,832$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 5c | 4,825$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.34 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed Yes | 73c | 4,800$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 78c | 4,722$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.34 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d8…f52cbacked No | 42c | 4,721$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…6a0abacked No | 11c | 4,589$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 71c | 4,514$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.94 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d17…a5c9backed No | 25c | 4,399$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…3832backed Yes | 70c | 4,327$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.99 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 15c | 4,270$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 28c | 4,193$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.83 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d8…c512backed No | 70c | 4,100$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e84…5bbbbacked Yes | 76c | 4,045$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +193.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 43c | 3,986$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 3,900$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…6dfbbacked No | 24c | 3,816$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 76c | 3,784$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.38 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 67c | 3,718$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked Yes | 60c | 3,700$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…c211backed No | 2c | 3,696$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…e435backed No | 28c | 3,679$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…30c9backed Yes | 71c | 3,661$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cb…6ab2backed No | 70c | 3,600$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 50c | 3,600$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…681ebacked No | 24c | 3,574$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…2eb3backed No | 70c | 3,550$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e18…3209backed No | 23c | 3,537$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.