NBA · resolved market
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33882fdaa147a31a1231293615b6e249ee8cf790fce9d8dc14f312f7b3cc0e30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,038,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,133,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,038,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x364b…f9bebacked Yes | 0c | 135,126$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.83 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 0c | 133,486$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.17 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 0c | 99,727$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 69,359$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.74 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…ae12backed Yes | 4c | 67,405$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 0c | 52,743$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 0c | 50,390$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.41 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Yes | 1c | 21,482$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,303$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…e266backed Yes | 0c | 18,750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6788…fd68backed Yes | 1c | 18,733$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 18,157$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 17,663$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 15,403$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c7…3720backed Yes | 3c | 15,367$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9677…075bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,315$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 0c | 15,109$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 0c | 13,264$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 1c | 12,618$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d2…1ae6backed Yes | 0c | 12,380$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b9…0de2backed Yes | 0c | 12,360$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5509…e65fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,514$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7c…c1d8backed Yes | 3c | 10,501$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c80…aad7backed Yes | 0c | 10,490$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3284…4c82backed Yes | 3c | 10,400$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…4277backed Yes | 0c | 10,390$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc0…59f0backed Yes | 0c | 10,340$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…73cabacked Yes | 0c | 10,290$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…0c4fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,210$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c31…b166backed Yes | 0c | 10,200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…f6cfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e7…3bbcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,167$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…a909backed Yes | 0c | 10,164$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…a2f3backed Yes | 0c | 10,120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…32a1backed Yes | 0c | 10,060$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…3a67backed Yes | 1c | 8,912$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 8,793$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…e47bbacked Yes | 3c | 8,734$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83d…7dacbacked Yes | 0c | 8,374$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3566…ca68backed Yes | 0c | 8,374$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d4…3df1backed Yes | 0c | 8,374$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…04d0backed Yes | 0c | 8,374$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +172%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…0720backed Yes | 0c | 8,144$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3156…7d39backed Yes | 0c | 8,144$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2620…69dbbacked Yes | 0c | 8,063$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…6d95backed Yes | 0c | 8,029$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…52b1backed Yes | 0c | 7,979$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…f417backed Yes | 0c | 7,979$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…91dabacked Yes | 0c | 7,710$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a4…7ddcbacked Yes | 3c | 6,934$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…990ebacked Yes | 3c | 6,934$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…b999backed Yes | 3c | 6,934$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…6403backed Yes | 0c | 6,707$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…8286backed Yes | 0c | 6,522$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,282$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa97…2c6cbacked Yes | 3c | 5,434$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c6…c18ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,133$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…a2fdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,095$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…f60bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…ecf6backed Yes | 0c | 4,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 0c | 4,342$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Yes | 0c | 4,025$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…36a5backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…f50fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,807$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…ffd8backed Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…c995backed Yes | 3c | 3,650$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ada…ad01backed Yes | 1c | 3,582$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c1…2488backed Yes | 3c | 3,567$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 73 | 0%0 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…2aafbacked Yes | 3c | 3,393$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b1…41f5backed Yes | 1c | 3,133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Yes | 1c | 3,061$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…dbe0backed Yes | 3c | 2,832$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6635…82a8backed Yes | 1c | 2,613$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…0843backed Yes | 0c | 2,586$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f1…8c9dbacked Yes | 0c | 2,537$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…d1a2backed Yes | 1c | 2,207$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…4026backed Yes | 0c | 2,135$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…4840backed Yes | 1c | 2,106$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…4744backed Yes | 1c | 2,077$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…bd30backed Yes | 1c | 2,077$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5098…8e50backed Yes | 1c | 2,073$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb39…ba6bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,073$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…f105backed Yes | 1c | 2,054$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa4…cfcfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,054$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314f…dd6abacked Yes | 1c | 2,033$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d8…0947backed Yes | 1c | 2,033$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5d…9df8backed Yes | 1c | 2,026$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…da5bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,026$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937a…f16dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,012$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…64b3backed Yes | 1c | 2,012$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…c767backed Yes | 1c | 2,011$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89aa…7f4cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,011$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,998$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1454…e3a0backed Yes | 1c | 1,991$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…3e0cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,988$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 1c | 1,978$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6a…4359backed Yes | 1c | 1,945$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.