NBA · resolved market
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc24a7efb9a05be7e3579112dcc54492dc3af966602088aa93c7f233a190f79d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,881,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,335,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,881,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 0c | 172,620$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.32 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 5c | 83,944$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062.8 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…0944backed Yes | 0c | 68,067$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed Yes | 11c | 38,842$4,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,271.25 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Yes | 8c | 38,613$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.18 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 36,347$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…ffaabacked Yes | 6c | 34,893$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +180.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 0c | 31,292$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 2c | 28,975$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.21 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 28,926$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.23 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 2c | 27,738$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 1c | 23,529$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.84 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 22,126$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.33 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 20,982$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.36 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 1c | 16,464$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.66 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 15,201$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 2c | 15,100$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.39 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e06…e029backed Yes | 0c | 12,894$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 5c | 12,723$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.41 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b3…c943backed Yes | 0c | 12,580$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…64ecbacked Yes | 0c | 12,461$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 6c | 12,233$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.71 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…c942backed Yes | 0c | 12,065$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…4556backed Yes | 0c | 11,920$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1b…b9cebacked Yes | 0c | 11,340$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…1a7ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,920$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f89…e938backed Yes | 0c | 10,910$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…9d2cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,900$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 10,770$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 1c | 10,553$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 5c | 10,317$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.19 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 10,104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.7 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd79…c803backed Yes | 16c | 9,577$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes | 3c | 9,452$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.64 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 7c | 8,615$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.68 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabf…b6babacked Yes | 3c | 8,549$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 1c | 7,840$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…5eb4backed Yes | 17c | 7,256$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Yes | 2c | 7,019$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.68 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…17d6backed Yes | 3c | 6,696$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 5c | 6,413$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.26 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Yes | 17c | 6,129$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Yes | 4c | 6,046$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 17c | 5,991$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…91dabacked Yes | 1c | 5,866$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d7…852bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,836$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214e…3c01backed Yes | 2c | 5,804$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…41c9backed Yes | 5c | 5,522$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.89 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…e50dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,411$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 7c | 5,261$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.8 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…c918backed Yes | 0c | 5,166$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbd…eaf9backed Yes | 0c | 5,166$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…0090backed Yes | 0c | 5,166$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…d587backed Yes | 0c | 5,166$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2d…7950backed Yes | 0c | 5,166$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…14eebacked Yes | 0c | 5,166$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 3c | 5,112$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Yes | 11c | 5,049$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.3 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…e975backed Yes | 2c | 4,983$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6c23backed Yes | 0c | 4,824$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 4,699$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a73…c046backed Yes | 2c | 4,259$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf005…4b6cbacked Yes | 5c | 4,053$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…1e46backed Yes | 2c | 4,004$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 3,806$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.03 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…5a1bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,687$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…0b78backed Yes | 14c | 3,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 5c | 3,500$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 5c | 3,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 6c | 3,351$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.67 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e2…30d9backed Yes | 3c | 3,231$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…3832backed Yes | 6c | 3,230$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.39 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…511bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,167$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…1f41backed Yes | 5c | 3,145$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.69 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 3c | 3,050$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 3c | 3,039$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 1c | 2,999$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…29abbacked Yes | 15c | 2,959$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…4513backed Yes | 3c | 2,890$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 2,865$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.3 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…777fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,781$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…759bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,766$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…41d2backed Yes | 21c | 2,743$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x233e…8583backed Yes | 5c | 2,725$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,693$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…9617backed Yes | 5c | 2,692$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.67 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5d…9df8backed Yes | 2c | 2,674$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 2,664$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.45 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…8da4backed Yes | 2c | 2,657$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…b2c7backed Yes | 3c | 2,611$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Yes | 8c | 2,588$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.55 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d8…0947backed Yes | 2c | 2,578$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…d61cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,567$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 6c | 2,557$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.