TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,881,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,335,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,881,102 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x696a…e23abacked Yes0c172,620$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3217151.5%88 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes5c83,944$4,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,062.8333%1 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x886a…0944backed Yes0c68,067$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.622740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed Yes11c38,842$4,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,271.252832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes8c38,613$3,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,029.183221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes0c36,347$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c0…ffaabacked Yes6c34,893$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.99825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+180.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Yes0c31,292$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.292725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes0c30,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes2c28,975$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.21240%0 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes4c28,926$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.2360834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes2c27,738$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.37616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-76.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes1c23,529$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8495641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes6c22,126$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.333010%3 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c20,982$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.3640133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes1c16,464$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.668823.9%21 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c15,201$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.461,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Yes2c15,100$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.3955316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e06…e029backed Yes0c12,894$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes5c12,723$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.413225%8 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+53.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b3…c943backed Yes0c12,580$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba8…64ecbacked Yes0c12,461$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes6c12,233$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.7139449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bc…c942backed Yes0c12,065$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-44%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…4556backed Yes0c11,920$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a1b…b9cebacked Yes0c11,340$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0905…1a7ebacked Yes0c10,920$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f89…e938backed Yes0c10,910$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd47b…9d2cbacked Yes0c10,900$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes1c10,770$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9446426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes1c10,553$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.451,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes5c10,317$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.19263.8%1 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c10,104$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.57844.8%4 W · 80 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+489.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Yes4c10,000$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.719653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x59db…c353backed Yes4c10,000$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3551216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-73.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd79…c803backed Yes16c9,577$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes3c9,452$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.641520%3 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+138.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes7c8,615$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.68240%0 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdabf…b6babacked Yes3c8,549$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Yes1c7,840$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.812934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c87…5eb4backed Yes17c7,256$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22210347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked Yes2c7,019$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.683551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea1…17d6backed Yes3c6,696$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes5c6,413$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.2618235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Yes17c6,129$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0206040%24 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Yes4c6,046$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.618233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Yes17c5,991$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011145%50 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda34…91dabacked Yes1c5,866$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.176114.8%9 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-58.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d7…852bbacked Yes0c5,836$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x214e…3c01backed Yes2c5,804$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.031216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid+73.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2534…41c9backed Yes5c5,522$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.894520%9 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes0c5,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick1cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51cb…e50dbacked Yes3c5,411$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes7c5,261$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.8646.3%4 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6478…c918backed Yes0c5,166$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fbd…eaf9backed Yes0c5,166$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid-39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e86…0090backed Yes0c5,166$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6876…d587backed Yes0c5,166$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2d…7950backed Yes0c5,166$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6040…14eebacked Yes0c5,166$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes3c5,112$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.582440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Yes11c5,049$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.380737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6672…e975backed Yes2c4,983$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.51520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-49.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6c23backed Yes0c4,824$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.47425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes0c4,699$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12440%0 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a73…c046backed Yes2c4,259$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.43175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf005…4b6cbacked Yes5c4,053$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2a…1e46backed Yes2c4,004$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes11c3,806$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.032,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…5a1bbacked Yes9c3,687$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35060%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa98c…0b78backed Yes14c3,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes5c3,500$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.528929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes5c3,500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1756046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes6c3,351$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.67378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e2…30d9backed Yes3c3,231$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe838…3832backed Yes6c3,230$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3912241%50 W · 72 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+0.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7c4…511bbacked Yes10c3,167$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf998…1f41backed Yes5c3,145$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6980%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes3c3,050$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.447723.4%18 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes3c3,039$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806659.1%39 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes8c3,000$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.54131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Yes5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes1c2,999$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e86…29abbacked Yes15c2,959$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d19…4513backed Yes3c2,890$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes10c2,865$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.32,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ab7…777fbacked Yes4c2,781$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3c…759bbacked Yes4c2,766$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.299742.3%41 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc52a…41d2backed Yes21c2,743$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5752157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x233e…8583backed Yes5c2,725$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.12100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes3c2,693$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.765913.6%8 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90c8…9617backed Yes5c2,692$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.673030%9 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5d…9df8backed Yes2c2,674$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes6c2,664$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4515010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa10…8da4backed Yes2c2,657$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09e0…b2c7backed Yes3c2,611$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8360%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Yes8c2,588$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.5554853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7d8…0947backed Yes2c2,578$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e0…d61cbacked Yes5c2,567$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes6c2,557$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14418452.7%97 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.